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Nuggets vs. Thunder: Odds, Predictions, Stats, H2H & Lineups

Andrea Ano
Andrea Ano
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Photo by Markus Spiske on Unsplash

The Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder are set to meet in Game 1 of the Western Conference Semifinals. This game marks the beginning of a best-of-seven series in the NBA Playoffs. The Nuggets recently advanced after a tough series against the Los Angeles Clippers, while the Thunder swept the Memphis Grizzlies. This game is crucial as both teams aim to move closer to the NBA Finals.

The game will take place at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. It is scheduled for Monday, May 5, 2025, at 9:30 PM. Fans can catch the action on TNT. For those attending, the excitement of watching the game live adds to the experience, especially with the Thunder's strong home-court advantage.

Both teams have strong players to watch. The Nuggets rely on Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray, while the Thunder's Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been a standout. With playoff implications on the line, this game is important for setting the tone in the series. Fans attending can expect a lively atmosphere as these teams battle for a spot in the conference finals.

Where to Bet on Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

Here are the top sportsbooks in Colorado offering competitive odds, diverse markets, and generous welcome bonuses for new users:

Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder This Season: Games Overview & Best Bets

The Denver Nuggets enter this series with a 4-3 record, having recently defeated the Los Angeles Clippers in Game 7 of the first round. Key players like Nikola Jokić and Jamal Murray have been strong contributors. The Nuggets average 107.7 points per game and rank 4th in field goal percentage at 48.2%. On the other side, the Oklahoma City Thunder are 4-0 in the playoffs, coming off a win against the Memphis Grizzlies. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been a standout performer. The Thunder lead the league with 120 points per game and rank 1st in field goal attempts per game at 95.8. Both teams have solid defensive stats, with the Thunder allowing 100.5 points per game, while the Nuggets allow 108.3 points per game.

Last 5 Games Performance

Denver Nuggets: 3 Wins, 2 Losses -- The Nuggets have shown strong offensive efficiency, especially in home games. They had a high shooting percentage in wins, with standout performances from players like Jamal Murray and Nikola Jokić. Defense was inconsistent, particularly in away losses.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 5 Wins, 0 Losses -- The Thunder have been on a winning streak, with solid performances both home and away. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams have been key contributors. The team has maintained strong defense, holding opponents to lower scores.

Betting Trends

  • Denver Nuggets are on a 4-game winning streak ATS in the postseason.
  • Oklahoma City Thunder are 2-0 ATS at home in the postseason.
  • Denver Nuggets have hit the over in their last 3 postseason games.
  • Oklahoma City Thunder have a strong home ATS record of 22-7-1 in the regular season.
  • Denver Nuggets' average combined score in the postseason is 216.0, higher than their average over/under line of 213.93.

Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Games: Head-to-Head History

The Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder are set to meet in the first game of the Western Conference Semifinals. Over the last ten games, the Thunder have won seven times, with an average margin of 5.5 points favoring the home team. This season, both teams have yet to play against each other, but last season, the Thunder took one win with an 11-point margin at home.

Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Recent Games

  • Last 5 Matchups: Thunder 3 Wins | Nuggets 2 Wins
  • Average Point Margin: 10.8 points in favor of Oklahoma City
  • The Thunder have had the upper hand in recent games against the Nuggets.

Odds & Predictions for Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

Welcome to our Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions section. Here, we break down the odds and key details for the upcoming game.

Moneyline & Implied Probabilities

  • Nuggets: MoneyLine Odds +327 (Implied Probability: 23.43%)
  • Thunder: MoneyLine Odds -422 (Implied Probability: 80.84%)

Spread & Total Points

  • Nuggets: -9.5 (-110) | Thunder: +9.5 (-110)
  • Over 225 -110 | Under 225 -110

Predicted Score

The Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder are set to play in Game 1 of the Western Conference Semifinals. The Thunder have a strong home record both in the regular season and postseason. Their offensive stats are impressive, with a high points per game average. The Nuggets, however, have been performing well against the spread in the postseason. The Thunder's recent head-to-head advantage and strong home play suggest they might score slightly higher. The Nuggets' current form and postseason scoring indicate they will keep the game close.

  • Predicted Score: Thunder 116 - Nuggets 114

Player Prop Bets

As the Denver Nuggets prepare for their first game in the Western Conference Semifinals against the Oklahoma City Thunder, player prop bets draw attention. One trend to watch is Nikola Jokić's performance. He has been averaging a high number of assists in recent games, making him a key player to consider for prop bets.

Nuggets

  • Nikola Jokic
    • Points: 28.5
    • Rebounds: 13.5
  • Jamal Murray
    • Points: 19.5
    • Rebounds: 4.5
  • Aaron Gordon
    • Points: 14.5
    • Rebounds: 6.5
  • Christian Braun
    • Points: 12.5
    • Rebounds: 5.5
  • Michael Porter Jr.
    • Points: 11.5
    • Rebounds: 5.5
  • Russell Westbrook
    • Points: 10.5
    • Rebounds: 4.5

Thunder

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
    • Points: 31.5
    • Assists: No data available
    • Rebounds: 4.5
  • Jalen Williams
    • Points: 21.5
    • Assists: No data available
    • Rebounds: 5.5
  • Chet Holmgren
    • Points: 16.5
    • Assists: No data available
    • Rebounds: 8.5
  • Luguentz Dort
    • Points: 9.5
    • Assists: No data available
    • Rebounds: 4.5
  • Isaiah Hartenstein
    • Points: 8.5
    • Assists: No data available
    • Rebounds: 8.5
  • Alex Caruso
    • Points: 6.5
    • Assists: No data available
    • Rebounds: No data available

Final Betting Picks

  • Best Bets: Nikola Jokic Over 28.5 Points, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 31.5 Points, Over 225.0 Total Points
  • Nuggets Edge: The Nuggets have been effective against the spread in the postseason, indicating they can keep games close.
  • Thunder Edge: The Thunder have a strong home record and have performed well in recent head-to-head meetings.

Injuries & Expected Lineups for Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

Injuries are affecting both teams as they prepare for the game. The Denver Nuggets will miss DaRon Holmes II for the season, while the Thunder are uncertain about Ousmane Dieng's availability and will be without Nikola Topić. Check out the full list of injuries and lineups below.

Nuggets Injuries

  • DaRon Holmes II (Achilles) - Out

Expected Starting Five

  • PG: Jamal Murray
  • SG: Christian Braun
  • SF: Michael Porter Jr.
  • PF: Aaron Gordon
  • C: Nikola Jokić

Thunder Injuries

  • Ousmane Dieng (calf) - Questionable
  • Nikola Topić (knee) - Out

Expected Starting Five

  • PG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
  • SF: Luguentz Dort
  • SF: Jalen Williams
  • C: Chet Holmgren
  • C: Isaiah Hartenstein

Tactical Adjustments

  • The Nuggets might focus on using Nikola Jokic in the post more. His passing can create open shots for teammates.
  • With DaRon Holmes II out, Denver might need Aaron Gordon to play more minutes and grab rebounds.
  • Oklahoma City might consider using Isaiah Hartenstein more in the paint to take advantage of his high field goal percentage.

Where to Buy Tickets for Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

If you plan to attend this game, securing tickets early gives you the best selection and pricing. Below are verified ticket sellers, along with a breakdown of seating costs:

Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Ticket Price Ranges at Paycom Center

  • Courtside Seats ($1,000–$20,000+): Premium seats with VIP service and the best views. Prices soar for marquee matchups and playoffs.
  • Lower Bowl Sideline ($200–$600+): Close-up action with great sightlines. Prices vary by opponent and demand.
  • Club Seats ($200–$400+): Extra comfort, lounges, and premium perks. Costs depend on amenities and game importance.
  • Suites ($3,000–$20,000+, Price Upon Request): Private luxury spaces for groups, with prices varying by arena and matchup.
  • Baseline & Corner Sections ($100–$250+): A strong mid-tier option offering a close view at a lower price.
  • Upper-Level Sideline ($20–$200+): Budget-friendly seats with a full-court view. Big games push prices higher.

Prices vary based on the opponent, demand, and whether tickets are purchased through primary sales or resale platforms.

When and Where to Watch the Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Game

Can’t be there in person? Here’s when and where to watch the Nuggets game live, on TV or online:

National Broadcasts

The Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder will meet in the first game of the Western Conference Semifinals in the NBA Playoffs. The series is tied at 0-0 in this best of 7 series. The Nuggets have a record of 4-3, while the Thunder have a record of 4-0.

The game will take place at the Paycom Center. It is scheduled for Monday, May 05, 2025, at 9:30 PM. Fans can watch the game on TNT.

Regional Broadcasts

Some U.S. sportsbooks, like BetMGM, bet365 and Fanatics offer live NBA streaming. Users typically need an active account balance or a recent bet to watch.

Watch Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Live on Betting Sites

  • Altitude Sports will broadcast the game locally for Colorado fans.
  • Available through cable services like Xfinity, DirecTV, and FuboTV.
  • Check availability if you're from another state, as local broadcasts may vary.

Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Game Tip-Off Time

The Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder game is scheduled for 7:30 PM at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. Here’s how that translates across different time zones:

  • Eastern Time (ET): 9:30 PM
  • Central Time (CT): 8:30 PM
  • Mountain Time (MT): 7:30 PM
  • Pacific Time (PT): 6:30 PM

Make sure to join the broadcast early to catch all the action from the start.

FAQs: Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

Lets check out a few FAQs for tonights game.

What are the betting trends, odds, and predictions for Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder?

For the Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder prediction, the Nuggets have a strong 4-game winning streak against the spread (ATS) in the postseason, while the Thunder are 2-0 ATS at home. The Nuggets have also hit the over in their last three games, and their average combined score in the postseason is slightly above their over/under line, suggesting a high-scoring game could be possible.

What are the key factors that could impact Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder?

In the Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder stats, recent form shows the Thunder are undefeated in the playoffs, while the Nuggets have a strong ATS streak. Injuries could play a role, and both teams rely on different playing styles, with the Nuggets focusing on Jokic's playmaking and the Thunder leveraging Gilgeous-Alexander's scoring.

Where can I watch Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder live?

To watch Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder, tune in to TNT for live TV coverage. Streaming options may include TNT's online platform, but check for any regional restrictions that could apply.

What is the expected lineup for Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder?

The Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder lineup is expected to feature Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon, and Nikola Jokić for the Nuggets. For the Thunder, the projected starters are Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, and Isaiah Hartenstein, with potential last-minute changes possible before game time.

What are the key stats for Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder?

In Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder games, the Nuggets have a shooting percentage of 50% from the field and 45.2% from three-point range, while the Thunder have a field goal percentage of 40.2% and 25% from beyond the arc. The Nuggets' defensive rating is not provided, but they won 2 of the last 3 games against the Thunder, who won 7 of the last 10 games in their head-to-head matchups.

How can I buy tickets for Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder safely?

To buy Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder tickets safely, use official sources like the NBA website or the Paycom Center box office. Avoid scams by steering clear of unofficial sellers and checking for secure payment options.