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Longmont Weather Forecast: Seasonable dry weather for the forseeable future

In brief:

We warm to seasonable temperatures with dry conditions looking 10 days out.

Forecast discussion:

A dry trough is zipping past the state on Saturday (Halloween) with northwest flow aloft over the state (Figure 1 below).

 

Figure1_10312020Figure 1: the 500mb upper air forecast map for Saturday noon from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com

Local fires are still smouldering at a very low level, but upstream fires in other states will send a bit of haze our way (Figure 2).

 

Figure2_10312020Figure 2: the HRRR smoke at all levels forecast map for Saturday (Halloween) afternoon from NOAA.

We will be cooler than normal for the weekend and dry.  A cold front arriving early Saturday morning will kick up winds. Winds in the mountains will blow stronger than firefighters would like Saturday (Figure 3).

 

Figure3_10312020Figure 3: the 10 day graphical forecast from weather5280.com for Longmont, CO.

 

The longer-range forecast:

As the week wears on, a semi-strong ridge will return to the West and central U.S., warming us back to a bit above normal (Figure 4 and 3).

 

Figure4_10312020Figure 4: the 500mb upper air forecast map for Tuesday noon from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com

Sadly, we remain very dry for the next 10 days. The GFS gives the mountains a light sprinkle about a week from now (Figure 5). Snowfall remains very light in the northern mountains as well (Figure 6).

The Halloween forecast:

At 6 p.m.: The temperature will be 46 degrees with winds from the northeast at 6 to 10mph and clear skies.
At 9 p.m.: The temperature will be 37 degrees with light winds from the east at 3 mph under clear skies and a full moon.

I saw on another site that we've not had a full moon (and Blue Moon — second full moon in a month) on Halloween night since 1944. Strange. Sounds like 2020.

Election Day forecast:

Tuesday will be partly cloudy with a high near 70 degrees and  low near 38. There will be no precipitation and light west winds. You won't notice the weather in Colorado on Election Day.

Figure5_10312020Figure 5: the 10 day precipitation total from the GFS and weather5280.com

 

Figure6_10312020Figure 6: the 10 day snowfall total from the GFS and weather5280.com

 

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Mostly clear

Mostly clear

65°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
30.15 Rising
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
36 °F
Humidity
34%
Wind
ESE 3.3 mph
Gust
5.5 mph
Wind Chill
65 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
10 PM
63°F
Mostly clear
Today
11 PM
60°F
Clear
Tomorrow
12 AM
59°F
Clear
Tomorrow
1 AM
57°F
Clear
Tomorrow
2 AM
56°F
Clear
Tomorrow
3 AM
55°F
Clear
Tomorrow
4 AM
54°F
Partly cloudy
Tomorrow
5 AM
53°F
Intermittent clouds
Tomorrow
6 AM
51°F
Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow
7 AM
53°F
Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow
8 AM
58°F
Intermittent clouds
Tomorrow
9 AM
62°F
Intermittent clouds

7 Day Forecast

Sunny

Monday

86 °F

Warmer with abundant sunshine


Mostly cloudy

Monday Night

51 °F

Thickening clouds


Partly sunny w/ t-storms

Tuesday

76 °F

Not as warm with times of clouds and sun; a thunderstorm in the area in the afternoon; thunderstorms can bring localized damaging wind gusts


Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms

Tuesday Night

51 °F

A thunderstorm in the evening; otherwise, increasing clouds


Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms

Wednesday

68 °F

Some sun, then turning cloudy with a couple of thundershowers in the afternoon


Partly cloudy w/ t-storms

Wednesday Night

47 °F

A couple of showers and a thunderstorm in the evening; otherwise, clearing


Mostly sunny

Thursday

72 °F

Mostly sunny and pleasant


Clear

Thursday Night

47 °F

Clear


Sunny

Friday

81 °F

Sunshine


Mostly clear

Friday Night

47 °F

Mainly clear


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:41 AM
Sunset
7:09 PM

Based on AccuWeather data