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Longmont Weather Forecast: Seasonable dry weather for the forseeable future

In brief:

We warm to seasonable temperatures with dry conditions looking 10 days out.

Forecast discussion:

A dry trough is zipping past the state on Saturday (Halloween) with northwest flow aloft over the state (Figure 1 below).

 

Figure1_10312020Figure 1: the 500mb upper air forecast map for Saturday noon from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com

Local fires are still smouldering at a very low level, but upstream fires in other states will send a bit of haze our way (Figure 2).

 

Figure2_10312020Figure 2: the HRRR smoke at all levels forecast map for Saturday (Halloween) afternoon from NOAA.

We will be cooler than normal for the weekend and dry.  A cold front arriving early Saturday morning will kick up winds. Winds in the mountains will blow stronger than firefighters would like Saturday (Figure 3).

 

Figure3_10312020Figure 3: the 10 day graphical forecast from weather5280.com for Longmont, CO.

 

The longer-range forecast:

As the week wears on, a semi-strong ridge will return to the West and central U.S., warming us back to a bit above normal (Figure 4 and 3).

 

Figure4_10312020Figure 4: the 500mb upper air forecast map for Tuesday noon from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com

Sadly, we remain very dry for the next 10 days. The GFS gives the mountains a light sprinkle about a week from now (Figure 5). Snowfall remains very light in the northern mountains as well (Figure 6).

The Halloween forecast:

At 6 p.m.: The temperature will be 46 degrees with winds from the northeast at 6 to 10mph and clear skies.
At 9 p.m.: The temperature will be 37 degrees with light winds from the east at 3 mph under clear skies and a full moon.

I saw on another site that we've not had a full moon (and Blue Moon — second full moon in a month) on Halloween night since 1944. Strange. Sounds like 2020.

Election Day forecast:

Tuesday will be partly cloudy with a high near 70 degrees and  low near 38. There will be no precipitation and light west winds. You won't notice the weather in Colorado on Election Day.

Figure5_10312020Figure 5: the 10 day precipitation total from the GFS and weather5280.com

 

Figure6_10312020Figure 6: the 10 day snowfall total from the GFS and weather5280.com

 

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Light snow

Light snow

32°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
30.35 Steady
Visibility
3 miles
Dewpoint
30 °F
Humidity
93%
Wind
ENE 1.1 mph
Gust
2.2 mph
Wind Chill
32 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
3 AM
33°F
Cloudy
Today
4 AM
33°F
Snow
Today
5 AM
33°F
Snow
Today
6 AM
33°F
Snow
Today
7 AM
33°F
Cloudy
Today
8 AM
30°F
Flurries
Today
9 AM
32°F
Snow
Today
10 AM
33°F
Cloudy
Today
11 AM
34°F
Cloudy
Today
12 PM
35°F
Cloudy
Today
1 PM
37°F
Cloudy
Today
2 PM
38°F
Cloudy

7 Day Forecast

Rain and snow

Friday

41 °F

Chilly; rain and snow showers in the morning with little or no accumulation followed by rain and drizzle in the afternoon


Snow

Friday Night

30 °F

Periods of wet snow, accumulating 1-3 inches; roads could be slippery


Flurries

Saturday

40 °F

A bit of morning snow with little or no accumulation; otherwise, cloudy and cold; storm total snowfall 1-3 inches


Intermittent clouds

Saturday Night

32 °F

A shower in places this evening; otherwise, partly cloudy


Partly sunny

Sunday

63 °F

Partly sunny and warmer


Mostly clear

Sunday Night

40 °F

Mainly clear


Intermittent clouds

Monday

79 °F

Warmer with intervals of clouds and sun


Partly cloudy

Monday Night

40 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly cloudy

Tuesday

66 °F

Mostly cloudy and not as warm


Intermittent clouds

Tuesday Night

40 °F

Partly cloudy


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:15 AM
Sunset
7:44 PM

Based on AccuWeather data