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Forecast Discussion:
As this is being written, Tuesday later at night, a short wave is creating lift and a bit more snow for Colorado. The bonus graphic (Figure 6) shows that the morning front and first short wave gave our town 3-4" of snow, a bit more than I forecasted. Figure 1 is the surface analysis from Tuesday PM - and the front is draped over the southwestern reaches of the state. Snow is streaming off the front to the east.
The 'short wave' mentioned above is visible in Figure 2 as the red line leaning over our state. When it passes over, the precipitation chances will end before morning breaks on Wednesday. (But fog may break out too). Figure 3 is the water vapor image (long time, no see) and that short wave is creating the visible patch of uplifted moist air circled in green.
For midday Wednesday, Figure 4 shows that the front is long gone to the south and southeast into New Mexico and Texas leaving us high and dry (after that locally thick morning fog burns off).
In the longer range forecast:
Ridging in the upper air pattern returns (Figure 5), and we get quiet and quite seasonal as far as temperatures go (just 5 degrees or so below normal). Right now, there is no significant snow or rain in the 10 day forecast.
