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The Front Range Forcast: Warm, possible Christmas snow

In Brief

Very warm dry weather all week with "maybe" a Christmas Eve storm.

Forecast Discussion:

A persistent western ridge will give us really warm and calm conditions through Friday.  In Colorado, this is shorts and t-shirt weather (Figure 1). See the Longer Range forecast for what 'might' happen for Christmas.

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Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast for Longmont from weatherunderground.com

The Longer Range Forecast:

The upper air patter for Christmas Eve, from the GFS (Figure 2) is a weird mess.  I've not seen a scramble quite like this before.  It gives the mountains some snow but nothing really down to I-25 by midnight Dec 25/Dec 26 (Figure 3). The Canadian model looks more 'normal' to me (but still messy - Figure 4) and gives us a whopping 8-10 inches of snow Christmas Eve (Figure 5)!! 

This forecast is still very far away and there is a LOT of disagreement between the models.  Send a note to Santa requesting snow for Christmas! Check back here!

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Figure 2: the Christmas Eve 500mb upper air forecast map from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
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Figure 3: the GFS snowfall totals through Christmas night midnight from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
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Figure 4: the Christmas Eve 500mb upper air forecast map from the Canadian model and tropicaltidbits.com
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Figure 5: the Canadian snowfall totals through Christmas night midnight from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Mostly cloudy

Mostly cloudy

58°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
29.82 Rising
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
36 °F
Humidity
44%
Wind
SSE 2.8 mph
Gust
5.7 mph
Wind Chill
58 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
11 PM
58°F
Showers
Tomorrow
12 AM
56°F
Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow
1 AM
55°F
Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow
2 AM
54°F
Partly cloudy
Tomorrow
3 AM
53°F
Partly cloudy
Tomorrow
4 AM
52°F
Partly cloudy
Tomorrow
5 AM
51°F
Partly cloudy
Tomorrow
6 AM
49°F
Partly sunny
Tomorrow
7 AM
50°F
Partly sunny
Tomorrow
8 AM
52°F
Partly sunny w/ t-storms
Tomorrow
9 AM
55°F
Mostly sunny
Tomorrow
10 AM
59°F
Partly sunny

7 Day Forecast

Mostly cloudy w/ showers

Sunday

78 °F

Sun followed by clouds, becoming breezy this afternoon with a shower in places


Intermittent clouds

Sunday Night

49 °F

A shower in spots late this evening; otherwise, becoming partly cloudy


Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms

Monday

64 °F

Some sun, then turning cloudy, breezy and cooler with a couple of showers and a thunderstorm


Thunderstorms

Monday Night

47 °F

Evening thundershowers; overcast


Rain

Tuesday

55 °F

Cooler with periods of rain and a thunderstorm; breezy in the morning


Rain

Tuesday Night

44 °F

Rain


Showers

Wednesday

57 °F

Occasional morning rain and drizzle; otherwise, low clouds and cool


Intermittent clouds

Wednesday Night

40 °F

Partly cloudy


Partly sunny

Thursday

68 °F

Partly sunny and warmer


Clear

Thursday Night

43 °F

Clear


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
5:57 AM
Sunset
7:58 PM

Based on AccuWeather data