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Nuggets vs. Thunder: Odds, Predictions, Stats, H2H & Lineups

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Photo by Markus Spiske on Unsplash

The Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder are set for a decisive Game 7 in the Western Conference Semifinals. The series is tied 3-3, making this game critical for both teams. The winner will advance to the Western Conference Finals. The game will be held at the Paycom Center on Sunday, May 18, 2025, at 3:30 PM. Fans can watch the game on ABC.

For the Nuggets, recent challenges have included injuries and player health. Aaron Gordon's status is uncertain due to a hamstring strain, and Jamal Murray played through illness in Game 6. Despite these issues, the Nuggets secured a 119-107 victory in Game 6, forcing the series to this final game. Nikola Jokic's leadership and performance will be key for Denver's success.

The Thunder, as the top seed, have home-court advantage. They missed a chance to close out the series in Game 6, adding pressure for Game 7. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will be a crucial player for Oklahoma City, with his performance impacting the team's chances. Fans at Paycom Center can expect an electric atmosphere as they cheer for their team in this high-stakes game.

Where to Bet on Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

Here are the top sportsbooks in Colorado offering competitive odds, diverse markets, and generous welcome bonuses for new users:

Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder This Season: Games Overview & Best Bets

The Denver Nuggets have a 7-6 record in the playoffs and recently won Game 6 against the Thunder by 12 points. Nikola Jokić has been a key player, scoring 29 points in the last game. The Nuggets average 108.1 points per game and are strong in rebounds, ranking third in the league. The Oklahoma City Thunder hold a 7-3 playoff record and are coming off a loss in Game 6. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 32 points in the recent game. The Thunder lead the league in possessions and field goal attempts per game, with a high average of 116.3 points per game. They also have the best field goal percentage allowed, making them a tough defensive team.

Last 5 Games Performance

Denver Nuggets: 2 Wins, 3 Losses -- The Nuggets have strong offensive play at home, scoring over 110 points in both wins. Nikola Jokić is a key player, showing consistent high performance. Away games show scoring struggles and defensive lapses, especially in the game with a 43-point loss.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 3 Wins, 2 Losses -- The Thunder excel in shooting efficiency, particularly in their home win with 56.2% field goals. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the team in scoring, contributing significantly in each game. Home games show stronger performances, while away games are more challenging.

Betting Trends

  • Denver Nuggets have a strong postseason ATS record of 9-4-0, performing well as underdogs with a 9-3-0 record.
  • Oklahoma City Thunder's postseason ATS record is weak at 3-7-0, but they are better at home with a 3-2-0 record.
  • Denver Nuggets are on a 4-game winning streak in the postseason, providing momentum for the upcoming game.
  • The average combined score in Nuggets' postseason games is 218.92, slightly below the average over/under line of 219.77.
  • Oklahoma City Thunder's average combined score in the postseason is 221.6, close to their average over/under line of 227.5.

Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Games: Head-to-Head History

The Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder are set to meet in the decisive 7th game of the Western Conference Semifinals. The series is tied 3-3, with both teams displaying strong performances. Over their last ten games, each team has claimed five victories. This year, they are evenly matched with three wins each, with the Thunder holding a slight edge in point margins at home. The game will take place at the Paycom Center, where the Thunder has been successful in this series.

Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Recent Games

  • Last 5 Matchups: Thunder 3 Wins | Nuggets 2 Wins
  • Average Point Margin: 6.8 points in favor of Thunder
  • Thunder have a slight edge over the Nuggets in recent games.

Odds & Predictions for Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

Welcome to our odds and predictions section, where we look at the Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions for Game 7 of the Western Conference Semifinals. This game will decide who moves forward in the NBA Playoffs.

Moneyline & Implied Probabilities

  • Nuggets: MoneyLine Odds +257 (Implied Probability: 28.03%)
  • Thunder: MoneyLine Odds -316 (Implied Probability: 75.96%)

Spread & Total Points

  • Nuggets: -8.0 (-112) | Thunder: +8.0 (-109)
  • Over 213.5 -110 | Under 213.5 -110

Predicted Score

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been strong at home in the postseason with a 4-1 record. They also have a better head-to-head record against the Denver Nuggets in recent games. The Nuggets are on a 4-game winning streak, which gives them momentum. However, the Thunder's strong defense and home advantage may give them a slight edge. Both teams have been scoring close to their postseason averages, so the predicted score reflects a close game.

  • Predicted Score: Thunder 112 - Nuggets 110

Player Prop Bets

As the Denver Nuggets prepare for Game 7 against the Oklahoma City Thunder, player prop bets are gaining attention. One trend to watch is Nikola Jokic's consistent performance. Jokic has been a key player in the series, making an impact with his scoring and assists.

Nuggets

  • Nikola Jokic
    • Points: 30.5
    • Rebounds: 14.5
  • Jamal Murray
    • Points: 21.5
    • Rebounds: 4.5
  • Christian Braun
    • Points: 13.5
    • Rebounds: 6.5
  • Aaron Gordon
    • Points: 11.5
    • Rebounds: 5.5
  • Michael Porter Jr.
    • Points: 10.5
    • Rebounds: 5.5
  • Russell Westbrook
    • Points: 10.5
    • Rebounds: 3.5

Thunder

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
    • Points: 31.5
    • Rebounds: 5.5
  • Jalen Williams
    • Points: 19.5
    • Rebounds: 4.5
  • Chet Holmgren
    • Points: 14.5
    • Rebounds: 9.5
  • Isaiah Hartenstein
    • Points: 9.5
    • Rebounds: 8.5
  • Luguentz Dort
    • Points: 8.5
    • Rebounds: 2.5
  • Alex Caruso
    • Points: 7.5
    • Rebounds: 2.5
  • Cason Wallace
    • Points: 5.5
    • Rebounds: 2.5

Final Betting Picks

  • Best Bets: Nikola Jokic Over 30.5 Points | Thunder MoneyLine | Over 213.5 Total Points
  • Nuggets Edge: The Nuggets have a strong winning streak. Jokic leads the league in points and rebounds, which can help the team.
  • Thunder Edge: The Thunder have a good home record in the postseason. Their defense at home may limit the Nuggets' scoring.

Injuries & Expected Lineups for Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

The Denver Nuggets may miss Aaron Gordon due to a hamstring strain, which could affect their play. Oklahoma City Thunder will be without Nikola Topić, as he is out for the season. Check out the full list of injuries and lineups below.

Nuggets Injuries

  • Aaron Gordon (hamstring) - Questionable
  • Russell Westbrook (hand) - Probable
  • Jamal Murray (illness) - Probable
  • Hunter Tyson (ankle) - Questionable
  • DaRon Holmes II (Achilles) - Out

Expected Starting Five

  • PG: Jamal Murray
  • SG: Christian Braun
  • SF: Michael Porter Jr.
  • PF: Aaron Gordon
  • C: Nikola Jokić

Thunder Injuries

  • Nikola Topić (knee) - Out

Expected Starting Five

  • PG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
  • SF: Luguentz Dort
  • SF: Jalen Williams
  • C: Chet Holmgren
  • C: Isaiah Hartenstein

Tactical Adjustments

  • The Nuggets may need to adjust their lineup to account for Aaron Gordon's questionable status due to a hamstring strain. If he is unable to play, they might rely more on Michael Porter Jr. and Christian Braun for scoring and rebounding.
  • The Thunder could focus on limiting Nikola Jokic's scoring and rebounding. They might assign Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein to double-team Jokic in the paint to reduce his effectiveness.
  • Both teams should consider controlling the pace of the game. The Nuggets might push for a faster tempo to capitalize on Jamal Murray's playmaking, while the Thunder could slow it down to utilize Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's scoring ability in half-court sets.

Where to Buy Tickets for Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

If you plan to attend this game, securing tickets early gives you the best selection and pricing. Below are verified ticket sellers, along with a breakdown of seating costs:

Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Ticket Price Ranges at Paycom Center

  • Courtside Seats ($1,000–$20,000+): Premium seats with VIP service and the best views. Prices soar for marquee matchups and playoffs.
  • Lower Bowl Sideline ($200–$600+): Close-up action with great sightlines. Prices vary by opponent and demand.
  • Club Seats ($200–$400+): Extra comfort, lounges, and premium perks. Costs depend on amenities and game importance.
  • Suites ($3,000–$20,000+, Price Upon Request): Private luxury spaces for groups, with prices varying by arena and matchup.
  • Baseline & Corner Sections ($100–$250+): A strong mid-tier option offering a close view at a lower price.
  • Upper-Level Sideline ($20–$200+): Budget-friendly seats with a full-court view. Big games push prices higher.

Prices vary based on the opponent, demand, and whether tickets are purchased through primary sales or resale platforms.

When and Where to Watch the Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Game

Can’t be there in person? Here’s when and where to watch the Nuggets game live, on TV or online:

National Broadcasts

The Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder are set for Game 7 of the Western Conference Semifinals. The Nuggets have a series record of 3-3. This game will determine who advances to the next round.

The Nuggets come into this game with a playoff record of 7-6. They will be playing at the Paycom Center. The Thunder have a playoff record of 7-3.

The game will take place on Sunday, May 18, 2025. It will start at 3:30 PM and will be broadcast on ABC.

Regional Broadcasts

Some U.S. sportsbooks, like BetMGM, bet365 and Fanatics offer live NBA streaming. Users typically need an active account balance or a recent bet to watch.

Watch Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Live on Betting Sites

  • Altitude Sports will broadcast the game locally for Colorado fans.
  • Available through cable services like Xfinity, DirecTV, and FuboTV.
  • Check availability if you're from another state, as local broadcasts may vary.

Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Game Tip-Off Time

The Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder game is scheduled for 1:30 PM at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. Here’s how that translates across different time zones:

  • Eastern Time (ET): 3:30 PM
  • Central Time (CT): 2:30 PM
  • Mountain Time (MT): 1:30 PM
  • Pacific Time (PT): 12:30 PM

Make sure to join the broadcast early to catch all the action from the start.

FAQs: Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

Lets check out a few FAQs for tonights game.

What are the betting trends, odds, and predictions for Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder?

The Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder prediction considers the Nuggets' strong postseason ATS record of 9-4-0, especially as underdogs, and their current 4-game winning streak. Meanwhile, the Thunder have struggled with a 3-7-0 ATS record in the postseason, but perform better at home with a 3-2-0 record; the average combined scores for both teams hover around their respective over/under lines.

What are the key factors that could impact Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder?

The Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder stats show that injuries and recent form will be key in this Game 7. The Nuggets' momentum from a four-game winning streak and Jokic's leadership could be decisive, while the Thunder's home-court advantage and Gilgeous-Alexander's play may influence the outcome.

Where can I watch Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder live?

To watch the Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder game live, tune in to ABC for the official TV broadcast. Regional restrictions may apply, so check local listings for availability.

What is the expected lineup for Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder?

The Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder lineup is expected to feature Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon, Michael Porter Jr., and Nikola Jokić for the Nuggets, while the Thunder will likely start Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, and Isaiah Hartenstein. Potential last-minute changes could occur based on team strategies or player conditions before the game.

What are the key stats for Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder?

In the Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder games, the Thunder have a slight edge with three wins to the Nuggets' two in the last five games, and the Thunder lead the postseason series 3-3 this year. Key stats include Nikola Jokić's 48.6% shooting and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's 46.4% shooting, while the Thunder have a strong home record of 4-1 in the playoffs.

How can I buy tickets for Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder safely?

To buy Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder tickets safely, use official sources like the NBA's website or the teams' official sites. Avoid scams by checking for secure payment methods and reading reviews from other buyers.