This content was originally published by the Longmont Observer and is licensed under a Creative Commons license.
In Brief:
Friday will be chilly with a chance for showers and snow showers throughout the day ending mid-late afternoon. We warm to the upper 40's F to near 50F for the most of the next 9 days with only a blip-on-the-radar chance of showers mid-week next week. Where is our exciting winter weather?
Update 1/11 11am:
I received about 1/10th of an inch of dusty snow pre-dawn yesterday - and that was it. The storm even had trouble keeping the skies as cloudy as had been expected. That wasn't much of a storm. The trend of nearby snow (the mountain conveyor belt of moisture) continues for the next 10 days (Figure 1 update). Longmont remains almost snow-free. The mid-week snow chances are now fading out. I think I'll go out and do some pre-Spring yard work today. WYSIWYG - what you see for weather today is what you'll have for most of the next 10 days (just a few degrees variation is likely day-to-day).
End 1/11 11am update.
Forecast Discussion:
We get fronts and we get cold weather, but we can't seem to get snow. Our front from last night is all the way down into New Mexico and Texas (Figure 1). The cold air coming in Friday is sitting under the deep trough moving by today (Figure 2 - Friday). Our chances of precipitation are still very low (Figure 3) with the 'heaviest' period of snow (rain?) from late morning through late afternoon (Figure 4).
The GFS keeps us snow-free (Figure 5) as does the NAM (Figure 6). Neither have much measurable water either (rain + melted snow).
The Longer Range Forecast:
We warm to just a bit above normal for high temperatures for the next week and beyond (Figure 3). The GFS keeps us snow-free for the next 10 days (Figure 7) though a system will pass the state (like this one) mid-week next week.
