In Brief:
After a brisk cold front Monday morning (wow!) we warm to above average temperatures with some afternoon storm chances.
Forecast Discussion:
A stiff cold front blew through the area early Monday morning (it knocked over some trash cans on my street and made my Water World trip less than comfortable). We return to seasonable temperatures Tuesday (Figure 1) and add about 7 degrees on average to the normal high temperature for the rest of the week. The cold front is very visible on the surface temperature anomaly map for Monday (Figure 2). By Wednesday/Thursday, we are back to above average (Figure 3).
The cold front has moved on by Tuesday (Figure 4) and some storm chances have returned each afternoon after that (Figure 4 and Figure 1).




The Longer-Range Forecast:
Nothing really changes in the long term. We remain a bit on the warm side with daily storm chances in the afternoons (Figure 1). The rainfall amounts over the next 5 days will be pretty light overall except for the central and southern mountains (Figure 5).
