In Brief:
We have two more hot smoky days, with afternoon thunderstorms thrown in, before a cool down arrives just in time for September.
Forecast Discussion:
The High is moving south and is tapping a bit more tropical moisture. (Figure 1)
Still, we might see a lucky 0.25 to 0.5 inch of rainfall over the next 5 days (Figure 4). Temperatures stay in the 90'sF through Thursday before the High drifts south far enough that we get to cool to the 80'sF (Figure 5).
The Longer Range Forecast:
With a cold front approaching we'll see compressional heating for a day on Sunday and "might" touch 90F one more time (Figure 5) in the medium range forecast window (10 days). The big change comes Monday with a sharp trough shoving the High into Mexico (Figure 6). For a little bit, north winds should blow a lot of the smoke away and we'll see high temperatures in the upper 70'sF and lower 80'sF for a few days. Yea! Some meager rain chances are possible during this time period as well.
Meanwhile, hurricane Laura might reach Category 3 strength (or more??) before hitting the U.S. near the Texas and Louisiana Gulf Coast late Wednesday night.
