Skip to content
Join our Newsletter

Friday Update: Longmont Weather Forecast: Very warm again, then a chance of snow

Figure2u3_11192021
Figure 2 update: the 10 day graphical forecast for Longmont from weatherunderground.com

In Brief:

Mild weather continues with tiny chances of precipitation.

Friday update:

Things remain very quiet and mild (for this point in Fall).  The chilliest day in the future will be Thanksgiving day itself, when temperatures return to normal briefly (Figure 2 update). There are very small chances of showers this weekend, the night before Thanksgiving and the following weekend.  We will probably set the record for the latest measurable snow after all.  When those small chances occur, the northern mountains will pick up some nice snow.  Enjoy the pleasant weather unless there are showers on Saturday!

Figure2u3_11192021
Figure 2 update: the 10 day graphical forecast for Longmont from weatherunderground.com

End Friday update:

Tuesday Update:

The front is blasting down the Front Range currently and a bit of moisture and uplift will occur in the mountains. Figure 1 update shows the expected snow overnight. Look close, it is hard to see. We "may" have a coating or dusting in the morning, but probably not.  We are still in the running for a record late snow and record period of snow-less weather in Denver. It WILL be pretty chilly for the next.

Figure1u_11162021
Figure 1 update: the HRRR total snowfall forecast through 9am Wednesday from weather5280.com

End Tuesday update.

 

Forecast Discussion:

A giant ridge over the west keeps us very warm through Tuesday (Figure 1).  A strong cold front arrives Tuesday around sunset, temperatures plummet and precipitation chances rise (see the Longer Range Forecast below).

Figure1_11132021
Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast from weatherunderground.com for Longmont, CO.

The Longer Range Forecast:

A pretty strong trough sweeps the nation and brings down some cold Canadian air on Wednesday (Figure 2). At present, the area of snow this storm will kick up is very limited in coverage (Figure 3).  The precipitation will be confined to the northern Colorado mountains and a few spots on the Plains (Figure 4). The snow in the mountains might be pretty impressive but with only a dusting apparent at lower elevations (Figure 5).  The latest recorded measurable snow in Denver is November 21 which occurred in 1934. Looking further out, we might just break this record if this storm does not hit the airport.

 

Figure2_11132021
Figure 2: the 500mb upper air forecast map for Wednesday morning from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
Figure3_11132021
Figure 3: the 6 hour averaged precipitation around Wednesday morning from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
Figure4_11132021
Figure 4: the 10 day precipitation total from the GFS and weather5280.com
Figure5_11132021
Figure 5: the 10 day (10:1 ratio) total snowfall forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
Read more


Comments


Current Weather

Partly cloudy

Partly cloudy

52°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
29.68 Steady
Visibility
9 miles
Dewpoint
40 °F
Humidity
64%
Wind
WNW 1.7 mph
Gust
3.3 mph
Wind Chill
52 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
6 AM
51°F
Partly sunny
Today
7 AM
55°F
Mostly sunny
Today
8 AM
62°F
Mostly sunny
Today
9 AM
68°F
Mostly sunny
Today
10 AM
74°F
Mostly sunny
Today
11 AM
79°F
Partly sunny
Today
12 PM
82°F
Partly sunny
Today
1 PM
85°F
Partly sunny
Today
2 PM
86°F
Partly sunny
Today
3 PM
87°F
Mostly sunny
Today
4 PM
88°F
Mostly sunny
Today
5 PM
87°F
Mostly sunny

7 Day Forecast

Partly sunny

Tuesday

88 °F

Partly sunny and very warm with the temperature approaching the record of 92 set in 1962; breezy this afternoon


Clear

Tuesday Night

50 °F

Breezy this evening; otherwise, clear


Partly sunny w/ showers

Wednesday

73 °F

Cooler with sunshine giving way to clouds, becoming windy with a shower in the area in the afternoon; elevated fire risk due to gusty winds and low humidity


Cloudy

Wednesday Night

47 °F

Overcast


Intermittent clouds

Thursday

69 °F

Breezy and pleasant with intervals of clouds and sunshine


Mostly cloudy

Thursday Night

43 °F

Cloudy most of the time


Intermittent clouds

Friday

71 °F

Beautiful with times of clouds and sun


Intermittent clouds

Friday Night

43 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly cloudy

Saturday

74 °F

Mostly cloudy


Cloudy

Saturday Night

49 °F

Cloudy with a thundershower late


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
5:47 AM
Sunset
8:07 PM

Based on AccuWeather data