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Monday Update: The Front Range Forecast: Bitter cold and some snow

Monday morning update:

I know everyone wants to know snowfall totals, but the big story with this system is the prolonged cold. Let's talk about the snow though - from Longmont to Broomfield we should see about 1-2 inches a day Monday to Wednesday. Areas east of I-25 will see very little show while the foothills will see 9-12 inches over the week according to the 'fluffier' 15:1 snowfall ratio map from the GFS (Figure 1 update).

The forecasters at weather5280.com (Figure 2 update) don't go that high, but give the Longmont-Broomfield region 2-4 inches. The roads along I-25 shouldn't get bad, often, since there will be just a little snow each day, and it will be very 'dry' due to the low temperatures.

The cold front should sweep down the state between noon and 2 p.m. (dashed line Figure 3 update). We won't get back to freezing until Saturday midday next weekend. I expect single-digit highs Tuesday and 2-3 nights below zero lows Tue/Wed/Thur. With a stiff breeze at times, wind chills will be very painful and dangerous. As I write, we do not have any weather statements, watches, or warnings along I-25 or even up in Estes Park. Still - stay warm!

 

Figure1u_02212022
Figure 1 update: the 15:1 snowfall total forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com for the next 7 days.
Figure2u_02212022
Figure 2 update: the hand-drawn storm snowfall forecast from the forecasters at weather5280.com
Figure3u_02212022
Figure 3 update: the 10 day graphical forecast for Broomfield from weatherunderground.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Sunny

Sunny

76°F

UV Index
7 High
Pressure
29.83 Steady
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
40 °F
Humidity
26%
Wind
SSE 3.1 mph
Gust
8.2 mph
Wind Chill
76 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
11 AM
79°F
Mostly sunny
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12 PM
80°F
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1 PM
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2 PM
84°F
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3 PM
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4 PM
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5 PM
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6 PM
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7 PM
79°F
Mostly sunny
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8 PM
74°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
9 PM
70°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
10 PM
67°F
Intermittent clouds

7 Day Forecast

Mostly sunny

Friday

85 °F

Mostly sunny and very warm


Partly cloudy

Friday Night

47 °F

Partly cloudy


Partly sunny w/ t-storms

Saturday

79 °F

Mostly sunny with a thunderstorm in spots in the afternoon


Partly cloudy w/ t-storms

Saturday Night

50 °F

A thunderstorm in spots early in the evening; otherwise, partly cloudy


Mostly sunny

Sunday

84 °F

Very warm with sunshine and patchy clouds


Mostly clear

Sunday Night

47 °F

Mainly clear


Intermittent clouds

Monday

70 °F

Cooler with times of sun and clouds


Thunderstorms

Monday Night

43 °F

Breezy in the evening with thundershowers; a couple of late-night showers


Mostly cloudy

Tuesday

60 °F

Mostly cloudy and cooler


Intermittent clouds

Tuesday Night

40 °F

Partly cloudy


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5:42 AM
Sunset
8:12 PM

Based on AccuWeather data