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In Brief:
We have a stretch of 5 more days of mild weather with only a small chance of a thundershower most afternoons. A cool down with some rain showers return Monday/Tuesday, then we warm up but have continued shower chances next week.
Forecast Discussion:
There aren't any organized storms around the state, but there is a weak lee trough (yellow line) just east of the mountains (Figure 1). There will be some moisture around and weak low level convergence along the Front Range. With day time heating- small thundershowers may pop up (Figure 2) and drift to the southeast on northwest flow aloft (not shown). Temperatures are very nice in the lower to middle 70's F this week.
The Longer Range Forecast:
Over the next 5 days, there is a chance of a little bit of rain almost anywhere across the state (Figure 3). There are indications of cooler weather and rain beginning Sunday night (Figure 2) with rainfall over the next 10 days over 1.5" (Figure 4). Remember, we have seen the GFS get really excited many days out and then fade out on us. I wouldn't count on big rains yet.
