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Next Storm/Next Snow Forecast Discussion from the Cherrywood Observatory – December 18, 2018

This content was originally published by the Longmont Observer and is licensed under a Creative Commons license.

Forecast Discussion:

Rooting for snow this Christmas is like hoping the Broncos will 'do it' this next game. One still does not know, no matter how much talk there is about it...

But first, an upper level trough will bring the jet stream over the Rockies and the Front Range tonight into Wednesday night. We will have strong, possibly damaging, winds at times. From the National Weather Service (and Figure 1):

..HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

The National Weather Service in Denver has issued a High Wind

Watch, which is in effect from Wednesday morning through

Wednesday afternoon.

* TIMING...8 AM MST through 5 PM MST.

* WINDS...Northwest winds 30 to 40 MPH with gusts up to 55 MPH

possible.

* IMPACTS...Areas of blowing dust restricting visibility. Strong

crosswinds on highways. Possible power outages caused by downed

power lines.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Watch means there is the potential for a hazardous

high wind event. Strong winds may lead to property damage.

Hazardous driving conditions due to powerful cross winds will be

possible for drivers, especially for light weight and

high profile vehicles. Loose outdoor items should be brought

inside or secured properly. Continue to monitor the latest

forecasts.

Figure 1: the graphical forecast for the next 10 days forecast for Longmont, CO from weatherunderground.com

The longer range forecast:

We have a pre-dawn chance of snow Saturday, but highs reach upper 40's to lower 50's F Saturday through Christmas. That is hard to hold on to any dusting of snow that might occur. There is a chance of evening precipitation Christmas night (does that count?) on to the day after. We'll keep watching it here.

Meanwhile the mountains will see snow Wednesday morning and all day Saturday and Monday mornings as well as Christmas morning and day (Figure 2).

A large river of cold air will begin to dominate the Great Plains and places eastward, but we'll only be on the western shoreline of this shallow cold air. Longmont seems snow-free through Christmas at this time (Figure 3).

Also, from the NWS Boulder: Winter Solstice is coming up this Friday, Dec 21st at 3:23 PM MST. Our shortest day of the year will feature 9 hrs, 53 mins & 21 seconds of light. Enjoy that sunshine early and often!

Figure 2: the graphical forecast for the next 10 days forecast for Estes Park, CO from weatherunderground.com

Figure 3: The forecast accumulated snow map from the GFS and weather5280.com for Colorado, through Christmas Day afternoon.

Current Weather

Mostly cloudy

Mostly cloudy

56°F

UV Index
3 Moderate
Pressure
29.62 Steady
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
22 °F
Humidity
27%
Wind
WSW 9.7 mph
Gust
21.9 mph
Wind Chill
56 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
11 AM
57°F
Showers
Today
12 PM
58°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
1 PM
59°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
2 PM
60°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
3 PM
62°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
4 PM
60°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
5 PM
58°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
6 PM
56°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
7 PM
54°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
8 PM
51°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
9 PM
48°F
Partly cloudy
Today
10 PM
45°F
Partly cloudy

7 Day Forecast

Partly sunny w/ showers

Tuesday

62 °F

A brief morning shower or two; otherwise, windy with times of clouds and sun


Partly cloudy

Tuesday Night

34 °F

Partly cloudy and colder; there can be frost in the normally colder spots


Intermittent clouds

Wednesday

59 °F

Cool with times of clouds and sun


Mostly cloudy w/ showers

Wednesday Night

37 °F

Increasing clouds with a shower in spots late


Partly sunny w/ showers

Thursday

56 °F

Times of clouds and sun with a couple of showers; cool


Partly cloudy

Thursday Night

40 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly cloudy

Friday

63 °F

Mostly cloudy and warmer


Clear

Friday Night

40 °F

Clear


Mostly sunny

Saturday

74 °F

Mostly sunny, pleasant and warmer


Mostly clear

Saturday Night

43 °F

Mainly clear


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
5:52 AM
Sunset
8:02 PM

Based on AccuWeather data