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Next Storm/Next Snow Forecast Discussion from the Cherrywood Observatory – December 28, 2018

This content was originally published by the Longmont Observer and is licensed under a Creative Commons license.

Forecast Discussion:

Here comes the cold!!  (And a bit of snow.)

While a GIANT storm moves off into the eastern U.S., another, smaller storm is moving through the desert southwest towards us and regions south (Figure 1). With my added colored arrows (Figure 2) you can see the big swap of cold and hot air going on (Texas had severe weather because of this 'clash'). Temperatures today will be 16-18F below normal with a high only around 25F. Brrrr. (Figure 3)

Figure 1: The forecast surface map for Friday PM. From NCEP.

Figure 2: Actual temperatures Thursday afternoon from weatherunderground.com

Figure 3: The forecast temperature departure from normal map from the GFS and weather5280.com for Colorado, for midday Friday.

The loner range forecast:

This very cold period will extend through Saturday. We have a brief warm up on Sunday to a few degrees above normal with a warm front, then another cold front brings in a inch or two of snow Sunday night into Monday morning (New Year's Eve) - Figure 4.  That Monday-Tuesday cold shot will be as sharp as what we are experiencing today (Friday).  The snowfall (from the GFS) is heavier to the southwest and southern parts of Colorado - still Longmont may pull 1-2" from this model (Figure 5).

Figure 4: the graphical forecast for the next 10 days forecast for Longmont, CO from weatherunderground.com

Figure 5: The forecast accumulated snow map from the GFS and weather5280.com for Colorado, through New Years midday.

Current Weather

Cloudy

Cloudy

46°F

UV Index
1 Low
Pressure
30.2 Falling
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
30 °F
Humidity
55%
Wind
SE 2.9 mph
Gust
6.2 mph
Wind Chill
45 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
11 AM
51°F
Mostly sunny
Today
12 PM
54°F
Mostly sunny
Today
1 PM
58°F
Mostly sunny
Today
2 PM
61°F
Partly sunny
Today
3 PM
63°F
Partly sunny
Today
4 PM
65°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
5 PM
66°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
6 PM
65°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
7 PM
63°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
8 PM
60°F
Mostly clear
Today
9 PM
57°F
Mostly clear
Today
10 PM
55°F
Mostly clear

7 Day Forecast

Partly sunny

Saturday

66 °F

Not as warm with partial sunshine


Mostly clear

Saturday Night

39 °F

Clear to partly cloudy


Mostly cloudy

Sunday

77 °F

Mostly cloudy and warmer; breezy in the afternoon


Mostly cloudy

Sunday Night

45 °F

Rather cloudy; breezy late


Windy

Monday

60 °F

Very windy; cloudy and cooler


Intermittent clouds

Monday Night

43 °F

Partly cloudy


Intermittent clouds

Tuesday

62 °F

Times of clouds and sun; windy in the afternoon


Partly cloudy

Tuesday Night

36 °F

Partly cloudy


Intermittent clouds

Wednesday

60 °F

Times of clouds and sun


Intermittent clouds

Wednesday Night

35 °F

Partly cloudy


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
5:55 AM
Sunset
7:59 PM

Based on AccuWeather data