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Next Storm/Next Snow Forecast Discussion from the Cherrywood Observatory – December 29-31, 2019

This content was originally published by the Longmont Observer and is licensed under a Creative Commons license.

In Brief:

After a rough weekend, we re-enter quietness. We are below normal for Monday then back to normal temperatures Tuesday. There will be ongoing shots of snow for the mountains, but our next eastern plains snow chances hold off until next weekend.

Forecast Discussion:

Only another trace of snow was seen Saturday across Longmont (so I didn't put the CoCoRaHS map up). Some melting began today under building high pressure (Figure 1). Monday is still chilly but the sun will melt things a bit better than it did on Sunday (Figure 2).

The Longer Range Forecast:

The west is dominated by a ridge for most of the week keeping us dry. A trough flattens the ridge out next weekend (Figure 3) that will fuel our next (not so great - as it looks now) chance for snow - mainly on Sunday (Figure 2). Over the next 10 days, the GFS shows no significant snow in town (Figure 4). The GEM, on the other hand, does see a much stronger storm next weekend with up to 4-5 inches of new snow on the way (Figure 5). This means we have a fun model-battle to watch all week.

New Years Eve midnight forecast:

expect temperatures around 21F at midnight New Years Eve into the New year with partly cloudy skies and light west winds.

Figure 1: the current surface analysis map from Sunday PM and the weatherunderground.com
Figure 2: the graphical forecast for the next 10 days for Longmont, CO from weatherunderground.com
Figure 3: The 500mb forecast upper air analysis for Sunday AM. Pink dot is Longmont. Red lines are troughs, blue lines are ridges.
Figure 3: 10:1 (snow to liquid) snowfall totals over the next 10 days from the GFS and weather5280com for Colorado made Sunday afternoon.
Figure 5: 10:1 (snow to liquid) snowfall totals through the next 10 days from the GEM and tropicaltidbits. com for Colorado made Sunday afternoon.

Current Weather

Mostly cloudy

Mostly cloudy

39°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
30.2 Steady
Visibility
7 miles
Dewpoint
31 °F
Humidity
72%
Wind
SE 1.6 mph
Gust
3.7 mph
Wind Chill
39 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
3 AM
39°F
Showers
Today
4 AM
38°F
Partly cloudy
Today
5 AM
38°F
Partly cloudy
Today
6 AM
37°F
Partly sunny
Today
7 AM
39°F
Partly sunny
Today
8 AM
42°F
Mostly sunny
Today
9 AM
45°F
Mostly sunny
Today
10 AM
49°F
Mostly sunny
Today
11 AM
53°F
Mostly sunny
Today
12 PM
55°F
Mostly sunny
Today
1 PM
59°F
Mostly sunny
Today
2 PM
61°F
Partly sunny

7 Day Forecast

Mostly cloudy w/ showers

Friday

76 °F

Some sun, then increasing clouds, becoming breezy in the afternoon with a shower in spots late


Partly cloudy w/ showers

Friday Night

37 °F

Partly cloudy with a couple of showers


Partly sunny

Saturday

66 °F

Partly sunny and not as warm


Mostly clear

Saturday Night

40 °F

Clear to partly cloudy


Mostly cloudy

Sunday

76 °F

Mostly cloudy and warmer; breezy in the afternoon


Mostly cloudy

Sunday Night

47 °F

Rather cloudy; breezy late


Windy

Monday

60 °F

Very windy; cloudy and cooler


Intermittent clouds

Monday Night

43 °F

Partly cloudy


Intermittent clouds

Tuesday

62 °F

Windy with times of clouds and sun


Partly cloudy

Tuesday Night

36 °F

Partly cloudy


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
5:57 AM
Sunset
7:58 PM

Based on AccuWeather data