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Next Storm/Next Snow Forecast Discussion from the Cherrywood Observatory – February 26, 2019

This content was originally published by the Longmont Observer and is licensed under a Creative Commons license.

Forecast Discussion:

An important front sits draped across northeast Colorado for a few days. To the southwest (where we live/Longmont) temperatures will be quite mild, even with some clouds. To the northeast, it will be very cold with periods of freezing fog up near Nebraska and NW Kansas (Figure 1).

Except for a minor wiggle in this front tomorrow (Wednesday) we'll be in the mid-50's until cold air surges to the south and southwest Friday (Figure 2).

The longer range forecast:

Temperatures over the next 3 days will (largely) be about 10 degrees above normal (Figure 3). Friday's cold surge is looking less snowy (Figure 2) but the cold will be memorable. Figure 4 shows temperatures dropping to 20 to 40F below normal for areas east of the Rockies by Sunday. Brrrrr! That's what we get with a semi-stagnant upper air pattern over the northern hemisphere now. More on this big change later!

Figure 1: The forecast surface map for Tuesday noonFrom NCEP.

Figure 2: the graphical forecast for the next 10 days for Longmont, CO from weatherunderground.com
Figure 3: The forecast temperature departure from normal map from the GFS and weather5280.com for Colorado, Wednesday noon.
Figure 4: The forecast temperature departure from normal map from the GFS and weather5280.com for Colorado, Sunday noon.

Current Weather

Mostly cloudy

Mostly cloudy

65°F

UV Index
4 Moderate
Pressure
29.81 Rising
Visibility
10 miles
Dewpoint
33 °F
Humidity
29%
Wind
N 9.4 mph
Gust
19.1 mph
Wind Chill
65 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
4 PM
70°F
Partly sunny
Today
5 PM
65°F
Partly sunny w/ showers
Today
6 PM
60°F
Partly sunny
Today
7 PM
55°F
Partly sunny
Today
8 PM
54°F
Partly cloudy
Today
9 PM
50°F
Partly cloudy
Today
10 PM
47°F
Partly cloudy
Today
11 PM
45°F
Partly cloudy
Tomorrow
12 AM
43°F
Partly cloudy
Tomorrow
1 AM
41°F
Partly cloudy
Tomorrow
2 AM
41°F
Partly cloudy w/ showers
Tomorrow
3 AM
40°F
Partly cloudy w/ showers

7 Day Forecast

Partly sunny w/ showers

Friday

76 °F

More sunshine than clouds; breezy this afternoon with a shower in spots


Partly cloudy w/ showers

Friday Night

37 °F

Partly cloudy with a couple of showers late


Partly sunny

Saturday

66 °F

Not as warm with sun and some clouds


Mostly clear

Saturday Night

39 °F

Clear to partly cloudy


Mostly cloudy

Sunday

76 °F

Mostly cloudy and warmer; breezy in the afternoon


Mostly cloudy

Sunday Night

51 °F

Rather cloudy; windy late


Windy

Monday

60 °F

Winds gusting past 40 mph; cloudy and cooler


Intermittent clouds

Monday Night

43 °F

Breezy in the evening; otherwise, partly cloudy


Intermittent clouds

Tuesday

62 °F

Times of clouds and sun; windy in the afternoon


Intermittent clouds

Tuesday Night

36 °F

Clearing


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
5:57 AM
Sunset
7:58 PM

Based on AccuWeather data