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Next Storm/Next Snow Forecast Discussion from the Cherrywood Observatory – March 9, 2019

This content was originally published by the Longmont Observer and is licensed under a Creative Commons license.

Forecast Discussion:

With this next system approaching this afternoon, I'm posting early. Again.

This system is quite similar to the mid-week storm. Another good coating of snow hits the Western slopes and high mountains while some rain (this time) and snow and ice sweeps the I-25 corridor briefly.

You can see the system in the surface map for early Saturday morning - Figure 1. Near the end of the precipitation, around midnight, temperatures are still just a bit above freezing. It still may put down snow and ice where heavier precipitation comes down (Figure 2). Winds will make it feel colder and will make Saturday morning uncomfortable. Figure 3 shows gusty winds scraping the foothills overnight up to about noon Saturday (also visible in the winds graph at the bottom of Figure 2). (Note, even a few thunderstorms are possible anywhere over Colorado too!)

Figure 4 suggests a coating to an inch of snow IS possible (I'd vote for the coating to 1/4 inch end, personally, for Longmont). Figure 5 shows us getting .05 to 0.25 inch of rain with this system.

The longer range forecast:

Winds calm down and we have a mild dry weekend later Saturday. The Tuesday/Wednesday storm is all over the place in the models. One model run gives us a bunch of rain (like the weatherunderground.com model does in this instance - Figure 2). Others give us a big March winter storm with blizzard conditions out on the eastern Plain. Others give us nothing but gusty winds and cloudy skies. You'll have to come back to find out more!

Figure 1: The forecast surface map for Saturday early morning from NCEP.
Figure 2: the graphical forecast for the next 10 days for Longmont, CO from weatherunderground.com
Figure 3: the forecast winds and pressure map from the GFS and weather5280.com for Colorado, for Saturday early morning.
Figure 4: the forecast accumulated snow map from the GFS and weather5280.com for Colorado, through the next 2 days.
Figure 5: the forecast accumulated precipitation (rain too) map from the GFS and weather5280.com for Colorado, through the next 2 days.

Current Weather

Sunny

Sunny

60°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
29.93 Falling
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
38 °F
Humidity
43%
Wind
NNW 3.2 mph
Gust
5.9 mph
Wind Chill
60 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
9 PM
57°F
Mostly cloudy w/ showers
Today
10 PM
54°F
Mostly clear
Today
11 PM
51°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
12 AM
49°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
1 AM
48°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
2 AM
46°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
3 AM
45°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
4 AM
43°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
5 AM
42°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
6 AM
39°F
Mostly sunny
Tomorrow
7 AM
41°F
Mostly sunny
Tomorrow
8 AM
47°F
Intermittent clouds

7 Day Forecast

Intermittent clouds

Saturday

64 °F

Cooler with clouds giving way to some sun


Mostly clear

Saturday Night

39 °F

A shower in spots this evening; otherwise, clear to partly cloudy


Mostly cloudy

Sunday

78 °F

Cloudy most of the time, breezy and warmer


Mostly cloudy

Sunday Night

47 °F

Rather cloudy and windy


Windy

Monday

60 °F

Very windy; cloudy and cooler


Intermittent clouds

Monday Night

41 °F

Partly cloudy


Intermittent clouds

Tuesday

59 °F

Cool with times of clouds and sun; windy in the afternoon


Partly cloudy

Tuesday Night

32 °F

Partly cloudy


Intermittent clouds

Wednesday

60 °F

Times of clouds and sun


Intermittent clouds

Wednesday Night

35 °F

Partly cloudy


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
5:55 AM
Sunset
7:59 PM

Based on AccuWeather data