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UPDATE: The Next Storm/Next Snow Forecast Discussion from the Cherrywood Observatory – April 21, 2018

This content was originally published by the Longmont Observer and is licensed under a Creative Commons license.

Forecast Discussion:

Saturday PM update:

The storm continued until around 3-4pm, but Figure 1 update and Figure 2 update are snowfall and water content reports around Colorado up to 7am Saturday.

Around Longmont, we received about 1 inch of snow. Boulder saw 1/4th inch to 1 inch (low end of my forecast).  For total water content, up to 7am we received about 1/3rd inch of water.  My rain gauge shows we about doubled that by the afternoon for 2/3rds of an inch of water.

Not shown, but Estes Park received 3-5 inches of snow.  Ft. Collins about 1/2 to 1 1/2 inches of snow. Berthoud received a coating to 1 inch of snow overall. Denver saw 1 1/2 inches of snow on the north side to 4 inches in the southwest suburbs. The Palmer Divide received about 1/2 to 2 inches across the region.

Little accumulation continued after sunrise and precipitation changed back to rain.  I doubt we'll see more accumulation of snow in tomorrows reports except up in Estes Park and other mountain locations.

Figure 1 update: The CoCoRaHS snow reports for Colorado up to 7am Saturday (the storm continued into the afternoon after this).

Figure 2 update: The CoCoRaHS precipitation reports for Colorado up to 7am Saturday (the storm continued into the afternoon after this).

End Saturday PM update.

The storm is underway, so I'll be brief, and update on Saturday with some totals. Rain finally began to fall around 4pm Friday.  Snow levels were just starting to lower in the mountains.  Figure 1 shows the radar image at 4:30p. This is just the beginning of the storm.  Figure 2 shows that the low didn't go into NE Utah, but moved from the four corners into western CO.  The arrows show the circulation around the low.  This might mean more water for us (and a touch more snow with a more southern track)!

Figure 3 has snowfall amounts very similar to what the have been expected most of the week.  Longmont maybe looks a bit cooler and may see a bit more of a coating of slush by morning.

Water totals (not shown) are now in the 3/4th to 1 inch area according to the GFS. Hurray! (I did put my April fertilizer down yesterday).

Figure 1: Radar image from 4:30pm weatherunderground.com. Longmont is the pink dot.

Figure 2: a wider view radar image from 4:30pm weatherunderground.com. Longmont is the pink dot.

Figure 3: The GFS total snowfall predication between Friday midday and Saturday PM.

The longer range forecast:

Nice spring like weather will be briefly interrupted by a cold front Monday that will cool us to the 50'sF for just Tuesday.

Current Weather

Partly sunny

Partly sunny

58°F

UV Index
7 High
Pressure
29.89 Falling
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
41 °F
Humidity
53%
Wind
SSE 2.7 mph
Gust
6.4 mph
Wind Chill
58 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
2 PM
57°F
Thunderstorms
Today
3 PM
58°F
Thunderstorms
Today
4 PM
60°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
5 PM
62°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
6 PM
60°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
7 PM
58°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
8 PM
55°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
9 PM
52°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
10 PM
49°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
11 PM
46°F
Intermittent clouds
Tomorrow
12 AM
45°F
Partly cloudy
Tomorrow
1 AM
43°F
Partly cloudy

7 Day Forecast

Thunderstorms

Sunday

62 °F

Mostly cloudy and warmer with a thundershower in spots


Intermittent clouds

Sunday Night

38 °F

Partly cloudy


Partly sunny

Monday

70 °F

Partly sunny, pleasant and warmer


Intermittent clouds

Monday Night

44 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly sunny

Tuesday

73 °F

Mostly sunny and pleasant


Intermittent clouds

Tuesday Night

41 °F

Clearing


Intermittent clouds

Wednesday

65 °F

Times of sun and clouds


Intermittent clouds

Wednesday Night

39 °F

A thundershower in spots in the evening; otherwise, partly cloudy


Rain

Thursday

56 °F

Cooler with occasional rain and drizzle; breezy in the morning


Partly cloudy

Thursday Night

32 °F

Partly cloudy


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:03 AM
Sunset
7:53 PM

Based on AccuWeather data