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Sunday Update: The Front Range Forecast: Extreme cold + snow

In Brief:

Chilly weather turning cold Wednesday, small chance of a White Christmas.

Sunday Update:

Just a quick reminder that a powerful cold front is on its way for about sunset Wednesday (Figure 1 update).  We'll see some snow from this system as well, but temperatures might drop as low as -15 to -20 on the Plains with this one (Figure 2 update). Snow won't be the main focus of this storm, but with temperatures that low, we'll see higher snowfall ratios (water content to fluff depth).  More 15:1 than 10:1.  This might give I-25 locations 3-5 inches.   More later!

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Figure 1 update: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com
figure2u_12182022
Figure 2 update: the surface temperature anomaly (departure from normal) for Thursday evening from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com

End Sunday Update.

Forecast Discussion:

Temperatures remain below normal or just getting to normal for the next week. Clouds come and go but snow/rain is not expected along I-25 for six days (Figure 1).

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Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com

The Longer Range Forecast:

A strong cold front arrives Wednesday dropping temperatures to below freezing again (Figure 1 dotted line) but the shallow very cold air won't make it very high into the mountains (Figure 2). Snow over the next five days will be light and confined to mountain locations (Figure 3). Over the next 10 days (including Christmas) we'll see more northern mountain snows and snow out on the northeast plains (Figure 4). That doesn't look like much snow on the ground for Christmas, but there might be snow falling nearby on Christmas morning (Figure 5).  We'll keep an eye on it here!

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Figure 2: the surface temperature anomaly (departure from normal) for Thursday
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Figure 3: the 5 day (10:1 ratio) snowfall forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com
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Figure 4: the 10 day (10:1 ratio) snowfall forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com
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Figure 5: the surface map forecast for Christmas morning from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Cloudy

Cloudy

48°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
29.58 Falling
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
42 °F
Humidity
80%
Wind
SSW 2.4 mph
Gust
4.7 mph
Wind Chill
48 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
6 AM
51°F
Cloudy
Today
7 AM
52°F
Cloudy
Today
8 AM
55°F
Cloudy
Today
9 AM
60°F
Cloudy
Today
10 AM
62°F
Thunderstorms
Today
11 AM
65°F
Cloudy
Today
12 PM
68°F
Cloudy
Today
1 PM
67°F
Thunderstorms
Today
2 PM
70°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
3 PM
68°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
4 PM
67°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
5 PM
65°F
Cloudy

7 Day Forecast

Thunderstorms

Friday

70 °F

Mostly cloudy with a couple of thundershowers


Thunderstorms

Friday Night

45 °F

Cloudy with a couple of thundershowers


Rain

Saturday

48 °F

Chilly with periods of rain and a thunderstorm; travel in the foothills and mountains will be slippery due to snow


Rain and snow

Saturday Night

39 °F

Cloudy with rain, mixed with a little snow late; travel in the foothills and mountains will be slippery due to snow


Mostly cloudy

Sunday

59 °F

Mostly cloudy and warmer


Partly cloudy

Sunday Night

36 °F

Partly cloudy


Partly sunny

Monday

71 °F

Partly sunny, pleasant and warmer


Partly cloudy

Monday Night

45 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly sunny

Tuesday

73 °F

Pleasant with sunshine and patchy clouds


Partly cloudy

Tuesday Night

43 °F

Partly cloudy


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:06 AM
Sunset
7:51 PM

Based on AccuWeather data