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Sunday Update: The Front Range Forecast: Extreme cold + snow

In Brief:

Chilly weather turning cold Wednesday, small chance of a White Christmas.

Sunday Update:

Just a quick reminder that a powerful cold front is on its way for about sunset Wednesday (Figure 1 update).  We'll see some snow from this system as well, but temperatures might drop as low as -15 to -20 on the Plains with this one (Figure 2 update). Snow won't be the main focus of this storm, but with temperatures that low, we'll see higher snowfall ratios (water content to fluff depth).  More 15:1 than 10:1.  This might give I-25 locations 3-5 inches.   More later!

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Figure 1 update: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com
figure2u_12182022
Figure 2 update: the surface temperature anomaly (departure from normal) for Thursday evening from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com

End Sunday Update.

Forecast Discussion:

Temperatures remain below normal or just getting to normal for the next week. Clouds come and go but snow/rain is not expected along I-25 for six days (Figure 1).

figure1_12152022
Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com

The Longer Range Forecast:

A strong cold front arrives Wednesday dropping temperatures to below freezing again (Figure 1 dotted line) but the shallow very cold air won't make it very high into the mountains (Figure 2). Snow over the next five days will be light and confined to mountain locations (Figure 3). Over the next 10 days (including Christmas) we'll see more northern mountain snows and snow out on the northeast plains (Figure 4). That doesn't look like much snow on the ground for Christmas, but there might be snow falling nearby on Christmas morning (Figure 5).  We'll keep an eye on it here!

figure2_12152022
Figure 2: the surface temperature anomaly (departure from normal) for Thursday
figure3_12152022
Figure 3: the 5 day (10:1 ratio) snowfall forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com
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Figure 4: the 10 day (10:1 ratio) snowfall forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com
figure5_12152022
Figure 5: the surface map forecast for Christmas morning from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Cloudy

Cloudy

64°F

UV Index
2 Low
Pressure
29.68 Steady
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
43 °F
Humidity
46%
Wind
WNW 1.6 mph
Gust
3.5 mph
Wind Chill
64 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
9 AM
58°F
Partly sunny
Today
10 AM
65°F
Mostly sunny
Today
11 AM
71°F
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12 PM
78°F
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1 PM
85°F
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Today
2 PM
86°F
Partly sunny
Today
3 PM
87°F
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4 PM
88°F
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5 PM
87°F
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Today
6 PM
85°F
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7 PM
82°F
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Today
8 PM
78°F
Sunny

7 Day Forecast

Partly sunny

Tuesday

88 °F

Partly sunny and very warm with the temperature approaching the record of 92 set in 1962; breezy this afternoon


Clear

Tuesday Night

49 °F

Breezy this evening; otherwise, clear


Partly sunny w/ showers

Wednesday

73 °F

Cooler with sunshine giving way to clouds, becoming windy with a shower in the area in the afternoon; elevated fire risk due to gusty winds and low humidity


Cloudy

Wednesday Night

47 °F

Overcast


Intermittent clouds

Thursday

69 °F

Breezy and pleasant with intervals of clouds and sunshine


Mostly cloudy

Thursday Night

43 °F

Cloudy most of the time


Intermittent clouds

Friday

71 °F

Beautiful with times of clouds and sun


Intermittent clouds

Friday Night

43 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly cloudy

Saturday

74 °F

Mostly cloudy


Cloudy

Saturday Night

49 °F

Cloudy with a thundershower late


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
5:47 AM
Sunset
8:07 PM

Based on AccuWeather data