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Sunday Update: The Front Range Forecast: Extreme cold + snow

In Brief:

Chilly weather turning cold Wednesday, small chance of a White Christmas.

Sunday Update:

Just a quick reminder that a powerful cold front is on its way for about sunset Wednesday (Figure 1 update).  We'll see some snow from this system as well, but temperatures might drop as low as -15 to -20 on the Plains with this one (Figure 2 update). Snow won't be the main focus of this storm, but with temperatures that low, we'll see higher snowfall ratios (water content to fluff depth).  More 15:1 than 10:1.  This might give I-25 locations 3-5 inches.   More later!

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Figure 1 update: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com
figure2u_12182022
Figure 2 update: the surface temperature anomaly (departure from normal) for Thursday evening from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com

End Sunday Update.

Forecast Discussion:

Temperatures remain below normal or just getting to normal for the next week. Clouds come and go but snow/rain is not expected along I-25 for six days (Figure 1).

figure1_12152022
Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com

The Longer Range Forecast:

A strong cold front arrives Wednesday dropping temperatures to below freezing again (Figure 1 dotted line) but the shallow very cold air won't make it very high into the mountains (Figure 2). Snow over the next five days will be light and confined to mountain locations (Figure 3). Over the next 10 days (including Christmas) we'll see more northern mountain snows and snow out on the northeast plains (Figure 4). That doesn't look like much snow on the ground for Christmas, but there might be snow falling nearby on Christmas morning (Figure 5).  We'll keep an eye on it here!

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Figure 2: the surface temperature anomaly (departure from normal) for Thursday
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Figure 3: the 5 day (10:1 ratio) snowfall forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com
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Figure 4: the 10 day (10:1 ratio) snowfall forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com
figure5_12152022
Figure 5: the surface map forecast for Christmas morning from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Mostly sunny

Mostly sunny

72°F

UV Index
4 Moderate
Pressure
30.24 Steady
Visibility
6 miles
Dewpoint
45 °F
Humidity
38%
Wind
N 3 mph
Gust
7.3 mph
Wind Chill
72 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
11 AM
72°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
12 PM
74°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
1 PM
75°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
2 PM
76°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
3 PM
75°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
4 PM
73°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
5 PM
71°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
6 PM
68°F
Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms
Today
7 PM
65°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
8 PM
63°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
9 PM
60°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
10 PM
58°F
Intermittent clouds

7 Day Forecast

Partly sunny w/ t-storms

Tuesday

76 °F

Not as warm with times of clouds and sun; a thunderstorm in the area this afternoon; thunderstorms can bring gusty winds, hail and localized flooding


Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms

Tuesday Night

51 °F

A thunderstorm this evening; otherwise, increasing clouds


Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms

Wednesday

72 °F

Some sun, then turning cloudy with a couple of thundershowers in the afternoon


Partly cloudy w/ t-storms

Wednesday Night

50 °F

A couple of showers and a thunderstorm in the evening; otherwise, clearing


Mostly sunny

Thursday

72 °F

Mostly sunny and pleasant


Clear

Thursday Night

45 °F

Clear


Sunny

Friday

81 °F

Plenty of sunshine


Partly cloudy

Friday Night

47 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly sunny

Saturday

85 °F

Mostly sunny


Clear

Saturday Night

53 °F

Clear


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:42 AM
Sunset
7:08 PM

Based on AccuWeather data