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Tue Update: The Front Range Forecast: Snow on the horizon

figure1u_11012022
Figure 1 update: the NWS surface forecast map for Friday AM.

In Brief:

Warm weather holds through Wednesday, then rain and an inch or more of snow along I-25.

Tuesday update:

The National Weather Service forecast map for Friday AM (Figure 1 update) shows Snow (or at least a rain/snow mix) for almost all of Colorado. The first cold front begins the temperature slide around 2pm on Wednesday (Figure 2 update). A reinforcing shot of cold air lets temperatures to drop a bit further and starts the precipitation. If we get snow, it looks like rain changes to snow around midnight or a bit later Friday morning.  Snow (or a rain/snow mix) should come to an end around sunrise.  It is not a big window where we have both precipitation and cold enough temperatures for much snow.

Figure 2 update shows the GFS giving Longmont/Broomfield 1-3 inches, the North American Model (NAM) gives these places 2-4 inches.  The forecasters at Weather5280.com gives us 1-2 inches.

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Figure 1 update: the NWS surface forecast map for Friday AM.
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Figure 2 update: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com

End Tuesday update.

The Forecast Discussion:

We had snow!  Well, there were reports of a rain/snow mix in Longmont and a trace of snow observed in Broomfield. Locations along the Front Range and I-25 corridor did see a healthy amount of snow (see green and orange dots in Figure 1).

The week ahead will be quiet with comfortable high temperatures through Wednesday (Figure 2). Even nighttime temperatures will remain close to freezing. To see our next storm chances, check out the Longer Range Forecast below.

HALLOWEEN forecast:

Temperatures on Halloween night will start off 5pm at 63F. The temperature will drop to 48F by 8pm. Winds will be light at 5mph from the west with clear skies.  I plan to have my observatory open for Trick or Peek at the corner of Cherrywood Dr. and Cherrywood Way.

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Figure 1: the 24 hour snowfall report through 7am Friday from CoCoRaHS.
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Figure 2: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.
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Figure 3: The 500mb upper air map for Monday noon from tropicaltidbits.com

The Longer Range Forecast:

The next cold front arrives Wednesday (red line) with a rain and/or snow arriving mainly on Thursday (Figure 2). The snowfall map through Saturday seems to indicate that much of the I-25 folks and the mountains will see snow again.  More later!

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Figure 4: the snowfall total through Saturday noon from tropicaltidbits and the GFS.

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Cloudy

Cloudy

35°F

UV Index
1 Low
Pressure
30.23 Rising
Visibility
2 miles
Dewpoint
33 °F
Humidity
94%
Wind
NNE 2.9 mph
Gust
5.1 mph
Wind Chill
33 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
9 AM
34°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
10 AM
35°F
Flurries
Today
11 AM
37°F
Mostly cloudy w/ flurries
Today
12 PM
38°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
1 PM
39°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
2 PM
40°F
Cloudy
Today
3 PM
41°F
Cloudy
Today
4 PM
42°F
Cloudy
Today
5 PM
40°F
Cloudy
Today
6 PM
39°F
Rain
Today
7 PM
38°F
Rain
Today
8 PM
37°F
Cloudy

7 Day Forecast

Rain and snow

Friday

42 °F

Chilly with some sun, then turning cloudy; a morning rain or snow shower in spots followed by a little rain this afternoon


Rain and snow

Friday Night

32 °F

Periods of snow; rain mixed in early, accumulating 1-3 inches; roads could be slippery


Flurries

Saturday

39 °F

A bit of morning snow with little or no accumulation; otherwise, cloudy and chilly; storm total snowfall 1-3 inches


Intermittent clouds

Saturday Night

31 °F

A shower in places in the evening; otherwise, partly cloudy


Partly sunny

Sunday

64 °F

Partly sunny, pleasant and warmer


Mostly clear

Sunday Night

41 °F

Mainly clear


Intermittent clouds

Monday

79 °F

Warmer with a blend of sun and clouds


Partly cloudy

Monday Night

36 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly cloudy

Tuesday

64 °F

Mostly cloudy and cooler


Mostly cloudy

Tuesday Night

40 °F

Mostly cloudy


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:15 AM
Sunset
7:44 PM

Based on AccuWeather data