Skip to content
Join our Newsletter

Tue Update: The Front Range Forecast: Snow on the horizon

figure1u_11012022
Figure 1 update: the NWS surface forecast map for Friday AM.

In Brief:

Warm weather holds through Wednesday, then rain and an inch or more of snow along I-25.

Tuesday update:

The National Weather Service forecast map for Friday AM (Figure 1 update) shows Snow (or at least a rain/snow mix) for almost all of Colorado. The first cold front begins the temperature slide around 2pm on Wednesday (Figure 2 update). A reinforcing shot of cold air lets temperatures to drop a bit further and starts the precipitation. If we get snow, it looks like rain changes to snow around midnight or a bit later Friday morning.  Snow (or a rain/snow mix) should come to an end around sunrise.  It is not a big window where we have both precipitation and cold enough temperatures for much snow.

Figure 2 update shows the GFS giving Longmont/Broomfield 1-3 inches, the North American Model (NAM) gives these places 2-4 inches.  The forecasters at Weather5280.com gives us 1-2 inches.

figure1u_11012022
Figure 1 update: the NWS surface forecast map for Friday AM.
figure2u_11012022
Figure 2 update: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com

End Tuesday update.

The Forecast Discussion:

We had snow!  Well, there were reports of a rain/snow mix in Longmont and a trace of snow observed in Broomfield. Locations along the Front Range and I-25 corridor did see a healthy amount of snow (see green and orange dots in Figure 1).

The week ahead will be quiet with comfortable high temperatures through Wednesday (Figure 2). Even nighttime temperatures will remain close to freezing. To see our next storm chances, check out the Longer Range Forecast below.

HALLOWEEN forecast:

Temperatures on Halloween night will start off 5pm at 63F. The temperature will drop to 48F by 8pm. Winds will be light at 5mph from the west with clear skies.  I plan to have my observatory open for Trick or Peek at the corner of Cherrywood Dr. and Cherrywood Way.

figure1_10282022
Figure 1: the 24 hour snowfall report through 7am Friday from CoCoRaHS.
figure2_10282022
Figure 2: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.
figurer4_10282022
Figure 3: The 500mb upper air map for Monday noon from tropicaltidbits.com

The Longer Range Forecast:

The next cold front arrives Wednesday (red line) with a rain and/or snow arriving mainly on Thursday (Figure 2). The snowfall map through Saturday seems to indicate that much of the I-25 folks and the mountains will see snow again.  More later!

figure3_10282022
Figure 4: the snowfall total through Saturday noon from tropicaltidbits and the GFS.

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
Read more


Comments


Current Weather

Sunny

Sunny

38°F

UV Index
2 Low
Pressure
30.21 Steady
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
37 °F
Humidity
93%
Wind
WNW 1.1 mph
Gust
2.2 mph
Wind Chill
38 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
8 AM
38°F
Mostly sunny
Today
9 AM
43°F
Mostly sunny
Today
10 AM
48°F
Mostly sunny
Today
11 AM
53°F
Mostly sunny
Today
12 PM
58°F
Mostly sunny
Today
1 PM
61°F
Mostly sunny
Today
2 PM
63°F
Mostly sunny
Today
3 PM
64°F
Mostly sunny
Today
4 PM
65°F
Mostly sunny
Today
5 PM
66°F
Mostly sunny
Today
6 PM
64°F
Mostly sunny
Today
7 PM
61°F
Mostly sunny

7 Day Forecast

Mostly sunny

Friday

66 °F

Mostly sunny


Clear

Friday Night

37 °F

Clear


Mostly sunny

Saturday

77 °F

Mostly sunny, pleasant and warmer


Clear

Saturday Night

42 °F

Clear


Mostly cloudy

Sunday

74 °F

Mainly cloudy; breezy in the afternoon


Partly cloudy

Sunday Night

46 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms

Monday

64 °F

Some sun, then turning cloudy, breezy and cooler with a couple of showers and a thunderstorm


Thunderstorms

Monday Night

45 °F

Evening thundershowers; overcast


Thunderstorms

Tuesday

49 °F

Cloudy and chilly; periods of rain in the morning, then afternoon thundershowers


Rain

Tuesday Night

39 °F

Rain


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
5:59 AM
Sunset
7:56 PM

Based on AccuWeather data