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The Front Range Forecast: Dry and warm weather returns

Figure3_09102022
Figure 3: the water vapor satellite image from Saturday PM from NOAA.

In Brief:

Warmth returns with very small rain chances mid-week.

Forecast Discussion:

The cold air that is dammed up against the eastern side of the Rockies will warm and slide away by the end of the weekend (Figure 1). Dry air (orange arrow) is pushing the monsoon moisture and remains of Kay to the south (green arrows, Figure 3). We may see 80F on Sunday then upper 80s as the week begins (Figure 2). The normal high temperatures this week are right around 80F, so the temperatures Monday/Tuesday will be abnormally hot (88F) but not the 90s or 100s we endured recently. Have we seen our last 90+ high? 

 

Figure1_09102022
Figure 1: the surface temperature anomaly for Sunday AM. from weather5280.com
Figure2_09102022
Figure 2: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com
Figure3_09102022
Figure 3: the water vapor satellite image from Saturday PM from NOAA.

The Longer Range Forecast:

There are small afternoon storm chances as a bit of Kay's moisture leaks in Wednesday to Friday (Figure 1). Rain totals still look very small (Figure 5).

Figure4_09102022
Figure 4: the 5 day precipitation forecast from weather5280.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Cloudy

Cloudy

50°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
29.67 Steady
Visibility
7 miles
Dewpoint
45 °F
Humidity
83%
Wind
SSE 2.7 mph
Gust
5.6 mph
Wind Chill
50 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
2 AM
50°F
Showers
Today
3 AM
50°F
Cloudy
Today
4 AM
50°F
Cloudy
Today
5 AM
51°F
Cloudy
Today
6 AM
51°F
Cloudy
Today
7 AM
52°F
Cloudy
Today
8 AM
56°F
Cloudy
Today
9 AM
59°F
Cloudy
Today
10 AM
63°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
11 AM
64°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
12 PM
66°F
Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms
Today
1 PM
68°F
Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms

7 Day Forecast

Mostly cloudy w/ showers

Thursday

72 °F

Turning cloudy, warm; an afternoon shower or two


Thunderstorms

Thursday Night

50 °F

Considerable cloudiness and mild; a thunderstorm in parts of the area in the evening followed by a shower in spots late


Thunderstorms

Friday

70 °F

Mostly cloudy with a couple of thundershowers


Thunderstorms

Friday Night

45 °F

Cloudy with a couple of thundershowers


Rain

Saturday

48 °F

Chilly with periods of rain and a thunderstorm


Rain and snow

Saturday Night

39 °F

Cloudy with rain, mixed with a little snow late


Mostly cloudy

Sunday

59 °F

Mostly cloudy and warmer


Partly cloudy

Sunday Night

36 °F

Partly cloudy


Partly sunny

Monday

71 °F

Partly sunny, pleasant and warmer


Partly cloudy

Monday Night

45 °F

Partly cloudy


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:07 AM
Sunset
7:50 PM

Based on AccuWeather data