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The Front Range Forecast: Dry and warm weather returns

Figure3_09102022
Figure 3: the water vapor satellite image from Saturday PM from NOAA.

In Brief:

Warmth returns with very small rain chances mid-week.

Forecast Discussion:

The cold air that is dammed up against the eastern side of the Rockies will warm and slide away by the end of the weekend (Figure 1). Dry air (orange arrow) is pushing the monsoon moisture and remains of Kay to the south (green arrows, Figure 3). We may see 80F on Sunday then upper 80s as the week begins (Figure 2). The normal high temperatures this week are right around 80F, so the temperatures Monday/Tuesday will be abnormally hot (88F) but not the 90s or 100s we endured recently. Have we seen our last 90+ high? 

 

Figure1_09102022
Figure 1: the surface temperature anomaly for Sunday AM. from weather5280.com
Figure2_09102022
Figure 2: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com
Figure3_09102022
Figure 3: the water vapor satellite image from Saturday PM from NOAA.

The Longer Range Forecast:

There are small afternoon storm chances as a bit of Kay's moisture leaks in Wednesday to Friday (Figure 1). Rain totals still look very small (Figure 5).

Figure4_09102022
Figure 4: the 5 day precipitation forecast from weather5280.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Clear

Clear

55°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
30.08 Rising
Visibility
16 miles
Dewpoint
45 °F
Humidity
69%
Wind
NNE 2.2 mph
Gust
3.2 mph
Wind Chill
55 °F

Hourly Forecast

Tomorrow
12 AM
54°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
1 AM
53°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
2 AM
52°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
3 AM
51°F
Clear
Tomorrow
4 AM
51°F
Clear
Tomorrow
5 AM
50°F
Clear
Tomorrow
6 AM
49°F
Clear
Tomorrow
7 AM
52°F
Sunny
Tomorrow
8 AM
58°F
Sunny
Tomorrow
9 AM
63°F
Sunny
Tomorrow
10 AM
71°F
Sunny
Tomorrow
11 AM
76°F
Mostly sunny

7 Day Forecast

Partly sunny w/ showers

Sunday

73 °F

Brief morning showers; otherwise, clouds giving way to some sun


Clear

Sunday Night

49 °F

Clear


Partly sunny w/ t-storms

Monday

86 °F

Partly sunny and warmer; a thunderstorm around in the afternoon


Partly cloudy

Monday Night

52 °F

Partly cloudy


Partly sunny w/ t-storms

Tuesday

72 °F

Times of clouds and sun with a thunderstorm in the afternoon; thunderstorms can bring localized damaging wind gusts


Mostly cloudy

Tuesday Night

50 °F

Increasing clouds


Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms

Wednesday

67 °F

Some sun, then turning cloudy with a couple of thundershowers in the afternoon


Clear

Wednesday Night

50 °F

Clear


Mostly sunny

Thursday

75 °F

Mostly sunny and pleasant


Clear

Thursday Night

47 °F

Clear


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:40 AM
Sunset
7:11 PM

Based on AccuWeather data