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The Front Range Forecast: Frequent cool precipitation returns

In Brief:

Cool temperatures settle in this week with a number of rain/snow chances!

The Forecast Discussion:

We will have what is called northwest flow set up for much of the next week. The upper air flow comes from the Pacific northwest and flows to the southeast over the state. This allows ripples in the flow to create quick bursts of rain and snow over Colorado and many other Great Plains states. Our first short hit comes Friday night into Saturday (Figure 1). We might see a slushy inch or so on grassy surfaces by Saturday morning.

We warm briefly until another front late Monday arrives bringing rain and thunderstorm chances.

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Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com

The Longer Range Forecast:

The peak of the storm comes Tuesday and Wednesday morning (Figure 1) with a cutoff low travelling overhead (Figure 2). The GFS gives us a short but intense burst of snow! (Figure 3). Beyond that, there is another chance of rain/snow Thursday/Friday and again on Sunday.  Lots of interesting weather is coming!

The GFS gives the I-25 folks a bit of snow over the next 48 hours (Figure 4) but some good snows for the mountains to the west. If true, the next 10 days sees an inch of snow east of I-25 but a rapid increase to a foot of snow just west of I-25 (Figure 5).  We'll see what happens!

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Figure 2: the 500mb upper air forecast map for Wednesday morning from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
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Figure 3: the surface forecast map for Wednesday morning from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
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Figure 4: the 48 hour snowfall forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com
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Figure 5: the 10 day snowfall forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Mostly cloudy

Mostly cloudy

51°F

UV Index
7 High
Pressure
29.51 Steady
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
21 °F
Humidity
31%
Wind
W 13.4 mph
Gust
32.4 mph
Wind Chill
51 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
12 PM
54°F
Showers
Today
1 PM
55°F
Showers
Today
2 PM
56°F
Cloudy
Today
3 PM
57°F
Cloudy
Today
4 PM
57°F
Cloudy
Today
5 PM
56°F
Cloudy
Today
6 PM
55°F
Cloudy
Today
7 PM
55°F
Cloudy
Today
8 PM
53°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
9 PM
51°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
10 PM
49°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
11 PM
48°F
Partly cloudy

7 Day Forecast

Showers

Monday

57 °F

Winds gusting past 40 mph; a brief shower or two this morning; otherwise, cloudy and cooler


Intermittent clouds

Monday Night

41 °F

Partly cloudy


Partly sunny w/ showers

Tuesday

58 °F

A couple of showers in the morning; otherwise, windy and cool with times of clouds and sun


Partly cloudy

Tuesday Night

33 °F

Partly cloudy


Intermittent clouds

Wednesday

60 °F

Times of clouds and sun


Mostly cloudy

Wednesday Night

38 °F

Increasing clouds


Partly sunny w/ showers

Thursday

56 °F

Times of clouds and sun with a couple of showers; cool


Cloudy

Thursday Night

37 °F

Cloudy


Mostly cloudy

Friday

62 °F

Mostly cloudy and warmer


Mostly clear

Friday Night

36 °F

Mainly clear


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
5:53 AM
Sunset
8:01 PM

Based on AccuWeather data