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The Front Range Forecast: Frequent cool precipitation returns

In Brief:

Cool temperatures settle in this week with a number of rain/snow chances!

The Forecast Discussion:

We will have what is called northwest flow set up for much of the next week. The upper air flow comes from the Pacific northwest and flows to the southeast over the state. This allows ripples in the flow to create quick bursts of rain and snow over Colorado and many other Great Plains states. Our first short hit comes Friday night into Saturday (Figure 1). We might see a slushy inch or so on grassy surfaces by Saturday morning.

We warm briefly until another front late Monday arrives bringing rain and thunderstorm chances.

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Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com

The Longer Range Forecast:

The peak of the storm comes Tuesday and Wednesday morning (Figure 1) with a cutoff low travelling overhead (Figure 2). The GFS gives us a short but intense burst of snow! (Figure 3). Beyond that, there is another chance of rain/snow Thursday/Friday and again on Sunday.  Lots of interesting weather is coming!

The GFS gives the I-25 folks a bit of snow over the next 48 hours (Figure 4) but some good snows for the mountains to the west. If true, the next 10 days sees an inch of snow east of I-25 but a rapid increase to a foot of snow just west of I-25 (Figure 5).  We'll see what happens!

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Figure 2: the 500mb upper air forecast map for Wednesday morning from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
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Figure 3: the surface forecast map for Wednesday morning from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
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Figure 4: the 48 hour snowfall forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com
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Figure 5: the 10 day snowfall forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Sunny

Sunny

63°F

UV Index
2 Low
Pressure
30.18 Steady
Visibility
5 miles
Dewpoint
55 °F
Humidity
75%
Wind
NW 1.1 mph
Gust
1.6 mph
Wind Chill
63 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
8 AM
70°F
Sunny
Today
9 AM
76°F
Sunny
Today
10 AM
82°F
Sunny
Today
11 AM
86°F
Sunny
Today
12 PM
89°F
Mostly sunny
Today
1 PM
91°F
Partly sunny
Today
2 PM
92°F
Partly sunny
Today
3 PM
92°F
Mostly cloudy w/ showers
Today
4 PM
93°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
5 PM
93°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
6 PM
91°F
Cloudy
Today
7 PM
89°F
Cloudy

7 Day Forecast

Partly sunny w/ showers

Sunday

93 °F

Partly sunny with a passing shower this afternoon


Partly cloudy

Sunday Night

62 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms

Monday

94 °F

Some sun, then increasing clouds with a thundershower in spots in the afternoon


Mostly clear

Monday Night

59 °F

Clear to partly cloudy


Intermittent clouds

Tuesday

92 °F

Sun through high clouds


Partly cloudy

Tuesday Night

60 °F

Partly cloudy


Intermittent clouds

Wednesday

72 °F

Times of sun and clouds with a thunderstorm in the afternoon; thunderstorms can bring hail and damaging winds


Mostly cloudy

Wednesday Night

58 °F

An evening thunderstorm; otherwise, mostly cloudy


Mostly cloudy

Thursday

86 °F

Warmer with variable cloudiness; a thunderstorm in spots in the afternoon


Intermittent clouds

Thursday Night

58 °F

Clearing


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
5:42 AM
Sunset
8:30 PM

Based on AccuWeather data