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The Front Range Forecast: "Hot" now, rain showers later

In Brief:

Near record warmth gets chased away by a couple of cool fronts that bring spring showers.

Forecast Discussion:

We had a (mostly) great weekend (minus a chilly Sunday morning and a wind blown NCAR fire!).  Before our next front, temperatures will soar on Monday.  The record hig for Monday is 83F set in 1963. It looks like many places along I-25 will break 80F (Figure 1 and Figure 2).

The next front arrives Tuesday early morning (blue dashed line Figure 1) brought in by a disjointed series of upper air troughs (Figure 3).

Along I-25, it looks like 1/4th to 1/3rd inch of precipitation is possible (Figure 1 and Figure 5).  Snowfall should be confined to overnight flurries mixed with light rain maybe making a bit of slush on grass along I-25 (Figure 4).  Higher mountain locations like Nederland and Allenspark may see 1-3 inches, but Estes Park should only get a Trace to an inch or so. Things are too warm this time!

Figure1_03272022
Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com
Figure2_03272022
Figure 2: the surface temperature anomaly (the departure from normal) for Monday noon from weather5280.com
Figure3_03272022
Figure 3: the 500mb upper air map for Tuesday noon from tropicaltidbits.com
Figure4_03272022
Figure 4: the (10:1 ratio) snowfall forecast for the next 3 days from the GFS and weather5280.com.
Figure5_03272022
Figure 5: the precipitation forecast for the next 3 days from the GFS and weather5280.com.

The Longer Range Forecast:

We return to the 60's Thursday before another weak front that brings showers Thursday/Friday.  Next weekend looks Great again!

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Cloudy

Cloudy

59°F

UV Index
2 Low
Pressure
30.28 Steady
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
51 °F
Humidity
74%
Wind
NNE 2.7 mph
Gust
4.9 mph
Wind Chill
59 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
10 AM
60°F
Partly sunny
Today
11 AM
62°F
Partly sunny
Today
12 PM
64°F
Partly sunny
Today
1 PM
67°F
Partly sunny
Today
2 PM
70°F
Partly sunny
Today
3 PM
73°F
Partly sunny
Today
4 PM
72°F
Partly sunny
Today
5 PM
71°F
Partly sunny
Today
6 PM
68°F
Partly sunny w/ t-storms
Today
7 PM
68°F
Partly sunny
Today
8 PM
67°F
Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms
Today
9 PM
65°F
Partly cloudy

7 Day Forecast

Partly sunny w/ t-storms

Monday

73 °F

Some sun with a thunderstorm in spots this afternoon


Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms

Monday Night

56 °F

A thunderstorm in spots this evening; otherwise, becoming cloudy


Partly sunny w/ t-storms

Tuesday

76 °F

Clouds and sun with a strong thunderstorm in spots in the afternoon; thunderstorms can bring hail and damaging winds


Mostly clear

Tuesday Night

59 °F

Clear to partly cloudy


Partly sunny w/ t-storms

Wednesday

78 °F

Intervals of clouds and sunshine with a thunderstorm in the afternoon


Mostly clear

Wednesday Night

54 °F

A thunderstorm around in the evening; otherwise, clear to partly cloudy


Partly sunny

Thursday

87 °F

Partly sunny, pleasant and warmer


Clear

Thursday Night

55 °F

Clear


Mostly sunny

Friday

92 °F

Mostly sunny


Clear

Friday Night

55 °F

Clear


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
5:32 AM
Sunset
8:34 PM

Based on AccuWeather data