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The Front Range Forecast: "Hot" now, rain showers later

In Brief:

Near record warmth gets chased away by a couple of cool fronts that bring spring showers.

Forecast Discussion:

We had a (mostly) great weekend (minus a chilly Sunday morning and a wind blown NCAR fire!).  Before our next front, temperatures will soar on Monday.  The record hig for Monday is 83F set in 1963. It looks like many places along I-25 will break 80F (Figure 1 and Figure 2).

The next front arrives Tuesday early morning (blue dashed line Figure 1) brought in by a disjointed series of upper air troughs (Figure 3).

Along I-25, it looks like 1/4th to 1/3rd inch of precipitation is possible (Figure 1 and Figure 5).  Snowfall should be confined to overnight flurries mixed with light rain maybe making a bit of slush on grass along I-25 (Figure 4).  Higher mountain locations like Nederland and Allenspark may see 1-3 inches, but Estes Park should only get a Trace to an inch or so. Things are too warm this time!

Figure1_03272022
Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com
Figure2_03272022
Figure 2: the surface temperature anomaly (the departure from normal) for Monday noon from weather5280.com
Figure3_03272022
Figure 3: the 500mb upper air map for Tuesday noon from tropicaltidbits.com
Figure4_03272022
Figure 4: the (10:1 ratio) snowfall forecast for the next 3 days from the GFS and weather5280.com.
Figure5_03272022
Figure 5: the precipitation forecast for the next 3 days from the GFS and weather5280.com.

The Longer Range Forecast:

We return to the 60's Thursday before another weak front that brings showers Thursday/Friday.  Next weekend looks Great again!

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Cloudy

Cloudy

58°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
29.68 Rising
Visibility
7 miles
Dewpoint
39 °F
Humidity
49%
Wind
ENE 5.6 mph
Gust
11.1 mph
Wind Chill
58 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
7 PM
60°F
Thunderstorms
Today
8 PM
56°F
Thunderstorms
Today
9 PM
52°F
Cloudy
Today
10 PM
50°F
Thunderstorms
Today
11 PM
48°F
Thunderstorms
Tomorrow
12 AM
46°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
1 AM
46°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
2 AM
45°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
3 AM
44°F
Rain
Tomorrow
4 AM
44°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
5 AM
44°F
Rain
Tomorrow
6 AM
44°F
Rain

7 Day Forecast

Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms

Friday

69 °F

Variable cloudiness with a couple of thundershowers this afternoon; gusty winds and small hail can accompany any downpour


Thunderstorms

Friday Night

41 °F

Cloudy; a couple of showers and a thunderstorm this evening followed by periods of rain late; gusty winds and small hail can accompany any downpour


Rain

Saturday

44 °F

Chilly with periods of rain and a thunderstorm; travel in the foothills and mountains will be slippery due to snow


Rain and snow

Saturday Night

36 °F

Cloudy with rain, mixed with a little snow late; travel in the foothills and mountains will be slippery due to snow


Mostly cloudy

Sunday

61 °F

Mostly cloudy and warmer


Intermittent clouds

Sunday Night

36 °F

A thunderstorm in spots in the evening; otherwise, partly cloudy


Partly sunny

Monday

71 °F

Partly sunny, pleasant and warmer


Partly cloudy

Monday Night

45 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly sunny

Tuesday

73 °F

Pleasant with sunshine and patchy clouds


Partly cloudy

Tuesday Night

40 °F

Partly cloudy


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:06 AM
Sunset
7:51 PM

Based on AccuWeather data