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The Front Range Forecast: "Hot" now, rain showers later

In Brief:

Near record warmth gets chased away by a couple of cool fronts that bring spring showers.

Forecast Discussion:

We had a (mostly) great weekend (minus a chilly Sunday morning and a wind blown NCAR fire!).  Before our next front, temperatures will soar on Monday.  The record hig for Monday is 83F set in 1963. It looks like many places along I-25 will break 80F (Figure 1 and Figure 2).

The next front arrives Tuesday early morning (blue dashed line Figure 1) brought in by a disjointed series of upper air troughs (Figure 3).

Along I-25, it looks like 1/4th to 1/3rd inch of precipitation is possible (Figure 1 and Figure 5).  Snowfall should be confined to overnight flurries mixed with light rain maybe making a bit of slush on grass along I-25 (Figure 4).  Higher mountain locations like Nederland and Allenspark may see 1-3 inches, but Estes Park should only get a Trace to an inch or so. Things are too warm this time!

Figure1_03272022
Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com
Figure2_03272022
Figure 2: the surface temperature anomaly (the departure from normal) for Monday noon from weather5280.com
Figure3_03272022
Figure 3: the 500mb upper air map for Tuesday noon from tropicaltidbits.com
Figure4_03272022
Figure 4: the (10:1 ratio) snowfall forecast for the next 3 days from the GFS and weather5280.com.
Figure5_03272022
Figure 5: the precipitation forecast for the next 3 days from the GFS and weather5280.com.

The Longer Range Forecast:

We return to the 60's Thursday before another weak front that brings showers Thursday/Friday.  Next weekend looks Great again!

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Clear

Clear

61°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
30.1 Falling
Visibility
6 miles
Dewpoint
51 °F
Humidity
71%
Wind
NW 2.2 mph
Gust
5.1 mph
Wind Chill
61 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
3 AM
60°F
Clear
Today
4 AM
59°F
Mostly clear
Today
5 AM
58°F
Mostly clear
Today
6 AM
57°F
Mostly clear
Today
7 AM
61°F
Mostly sunny
Today
8 AM
66°F
Sunny
Today
9 AM
74°F
Sunny
Today
10 AM
82°F
Sunny
Today
11 AM
88°F
Sunny
Today
12 PM
94°F
Mostly sunny
Today
1 PM
97°F
Mostly sunny
Today
2 PM
99°F
Partly sunny

7 Day Forecast

Sunny

Tuesday

90 °F

Sunshine


Clear

Tuesday Night

57 °F

Clear; good conditions for viewing the meteor shower


Mostly sunny

Wednesday

99 °F

Mostly sunny


Clear

Wednesday Night

60 °F

Clear


Mostly cloudy

Thursday

99 °F

Mostly cloudy with the temperature near the record of 100; danger of dehydration and heatstroke if outside for extended periods of time


Partly cloudy

Thursday Night

61 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly cloudy

Friday

94 °F

Turning cloudy and very warm; a thunderstorm around in the afternoon


Partly cloudy

Friday Night

60 °F

Variable clouds


Intermittent clouds

Saturday

89 °F

Times of clouds and sun


Partly cloudy

Saturday Night

57 °F

A thunderstorm in spots in the evening; otherwise, partly cloudy


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:09 AM
Sunset
8:02 PM

Based on AccuWeather data