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The Front Range Forecast: Light snow, bitter cold

In Brief:

Very cold air makes a short return and brings a little snow to I-25, a lot in the mountains.

Forecast Discussion:

The big news is again an arctic invasion of very cold air. The front will sweep down the Plains mid-Saturday afternoon (Figure 1). Sunday and Monday will have highs hovering around 10F (maybe only single digits). The very cold air will be shallow and will not be able to climb over the Rockies to the west (Figure 4).

There is some snow with possible periods of freezing rain or drizzle and/or sleet Saturday evening.  Another increase in snow chances occurs Sunday evening.  Some freezing precipitation may fall, off and on, through Monday midday. Most of the state will be seeing snow and winter precipitation on Sunday (Figure 2) with heavy snow in the north and northwest mountains. This shows up well on the weather5280 forecasters map (Figure 3). He has a Trace to 2 inches along I-25 south of Loveland and 2-4 inches total just to the west of the interstate and up in Fort Collins. Snowfall is impressive to the northwest in the mountains!  This same pattern is visible in the GFS snowfall map (Figure 5). I didn't go with the 15:1 snowfall ratios since we should see more of the snow before the very cold air is in place.

 

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Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com
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Figure 2: the NWS surface forecast map for Sunday.
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Figure 3: the storm snowfall total forecast from the forecasters at weather5280.com
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Figure 4: the surface temperature anomaly map for Monday noon from the GFS and weather5280
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Figure 5: the 60 hour snowfall (10:1 ratio) forecast from the GFS and weather5280com

The Longer Range Forecast:

The cold air begins to slosh off to the east on Tuesday but we don't see 40's return until Friday (Figure 1) and no additional notable snowfall over the next 10 days except up in the mountains (Figure 6).

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Figure 6: the 10 day snowfall (10:1 ratio) forecast from the GFS and weather5280com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Cloudy

Cloudy

41°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
30.19 Rising
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
32 °F
Humidity
71%
Wind
NE 4.9 mph
Gust
9.2 mph
Wind Chill
38 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
1 AM
40°F
Showers
Today
2 AM
39°F
Rain and snow
Today
3 AM
39°F
Cloudy
Today
4 AM
38°F
Cloudy
Today
5 AM
38°F
Cloudy
Today
6 AM
37°F
Cloudy
Today
7 AM
37°F
Cloudy
Today
8 AM
37°F
Cloudy
Today
9 AM
38°F
Flurries
Today
10 AM
39°F
Flurries
Today
11 AM
40°F
Flurries
Today
12 PM
40°F
Cloudy

7 Day Forecast

Intermittent clouds

Wednesday

74 °F

Times of clouds and sun


Rain and snow

Wednesday Night

37 °F

Cloudy; a couple of brief showers late this evening followed by a rain or snow shower in spots late


Rain and snow

Thursday

47 °F

Cloudy and chilly with a couple of showers of rain or snow


Mostly cloudy

Thursday Night

34 °F

Mostly cloudy


Mostly cloudy w/ showers

Friday

52 °F

Breezy in the morning; otherwise, cool with some sun, then turning cloudy with a little rain in the afternoon


Rain and snow

Friday Night

32 °F

Snow at times, accumulating an inch or two; rain mixed in early


Flurries

Saturday

49 °F

A bit of morning snow with little or no accumulation; otherwise, cloudy and chilly; storm total snowfall an inch or two


Intermittent clouds

Saturday Night

31 °F

Partly cloudy


Partly sunny

Sunday

72 °F

Partly sunny and warmer


Partly cloudy

Sunday Night

44 °F

Partly cloudy


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:18 AM
Sunset
7:42 PM

Based on AccuWeather data