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The Front Range Forecast: Light snow, bitter cold

In Brief:

Very cold air makes a short return and brings a little snow to I-25, a lot in the mountains.

Forecast Discussion:

The big news is again an arctic invasion of very cold air. The front will sweep down the Plains mid-Saturday afternoon (Figure 1). Sunday and Monday will have highs hovering around 10F (maybe only single digits). The very cold air will be shallow and will not be able to climb over the Rockies to the west (Figure 4).

There is some snow with possible periods of freezing rain or drizzle and/or sleet Saturday evening.  Another increase in snow chances occurs Sunday evening.  Some freezing precipitation may fall, off and on, through Monday midday. Most of the state will be seeing snow and winter precipitation on Sunday (Figure 2) with heavy snow in the north and northwest mountains. This shows up well on the weather5280 forecasters map (Figure 3). He has a Trace to 2 inches along I-25 south of Loveland and 2-4 inches total just to the west of the interstate and up in Fort Collins. Snowfall is impressive to the northwest in the mountains!  This same pattern is visible in the GFS snowfall map (Figure 5). I didn't go with the 15:1 snowfall ratios since we should see more of the snow before the very cold air is in place.

 

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Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com
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Figure 2: the NWS surface forecast map for Sunday.
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Figure 3: the storm snowfall total forecast from the forecasters at weather5280.com
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Figure 4: the surface temperature anomaly map for Monday noon from the GFS and weather5280
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Figure 5: the 60 hour snowfall (10:1 ratio) forecast from the GFS and weather5280com

The Longer Range Forecast:

The cold air begins to slosh off to the east on Tuesday but we don't see 40's return until Friday (Figure 1) and no additional notable snowfall over the next 10 days except up in the mountains (Figure 6).

figure6_01282023
Figure 6: the 10 day snowfall (10:1 ratio) forecast from the GFS and weather5280com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Mostly sunny

Mostly sunny

65°F

UV Index
1 Low
Pressure
30.24 Steady
Visibility
6 miles
Dewpoint
49 °F
Humidity
56%
Wind
NNW 4.1 mph
Gust
8.9 mph
Wind Chill
65 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
6 PM
66°F
Thunderstorms
Today
7 PM
64°F
Thunderstorms
Today
8 PM
62°F
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Today
9 PM
60°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
10 PM
58°F
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Today
11 PM
57°F
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Tomorrow
12 AM
56°F
Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms
Tomorrow
1 AM
55°F
Intermittent clouds
Tomorrow
2 AM
54°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
3 AM
53°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
4 AM
53°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
5 AM
52°F
Cloudy

7 Day Forecast

Partly sunny w/ t-storms

Tuesday

78 °F

Not as warm with times of clouds and sun; a thunderstorm or two this afternoon; thunderstorms can bring gusty winds, hail and localized flooding


Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms

Tuesday Night

50 °F

A thunderstorm this evening; otherwise, increasing clouds


Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms

Wednesday

73 °F

Some sun, then turning cloudy with a couple of thundershowers in the afternoon


Partly cloudy w/ t-storms

Wednesday Night

50 °F

A couple of showers and a thunderstorm in the evening; otherwise, clearing


Mostly sunny

Thursday

74 °F

Mostly sunny and pleasant


Clear

Thursday Night

45 °F

Clear


Sunny

Friday

81 °F

Plenty of sunshine


Partly cloudy

Friday Night

47 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly sunny

Saturday

85 °F

Mostly sunny


Clear

Saturday Night

53 °F

Clear


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:42 AM
Sunset
7:08 PM

Based on AccuWeather data