Skip to content

The Front Range Forecast: Mild and dry for a while...

figure5_11212022
Figure 5: the 5 day precipitation total from the GFS and weather5280.com

In Brief:

Pretty mild and pretty dry for the week.

Forecast Discussion:

A very quiet period stretches out ahead of us. Figure 1 shows periods of clouds mid-week with pretty normal/mild temperatures. You won't see much this week but a slow snow melt. There are chances of mountain snows on Thanksgiving Eve and Thanksgiving morning (Figure 2), but even up there, snow will be scattered.

figure1_11212022
Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver.
figure2_11212022
Figure 2: the surface map and precipitation map for Wed/Thur midnight as Thanksgiving starts from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com

The Longer Range Forecast:

Our next small chance of precipitation comes with a minor trough (red line in Figure 3) approaching the state Saturday evening. The GFS doesn't give us any precipitation with this trough (Figure 4) even when the weatherunderground model sees a small chance (Figure 1). Over the next full 5 days, precipitation will be very light state-wide except for a few spots in the mountains and Palmer Divide (Figure 5). 

Thanksgiving Forecast:

We should see a high around 47F and a low around 23F with clearing skies. Winds will be dying down as the day progresses. Happy Thanksgiving everyone!

figure3_11212022
Figure 3: the 500mb upper air forecast map from the GFS and tropicaltidbits for Saturday PM.
figure4_11212022
Figure 4: the surface map and precipitation map for Sunday morning from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
figure5_11212022
Figure 5: the 5 day precipitation total from the GFS and weather5280.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
Read more


Comments


Current Weather

Light rain

Light rain

55°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
29.68 Rising
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
40 °F
Humidity
57%
Wind
NNW 4.3 mph
Gust
11 mph
Wind Chill
55 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
10 PM
54°F
Cloudy
Today
11 PM
54°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
12 AM
53°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
1 AM
52°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
2 AM
51°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
3 AM
51°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
4 AM
50°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
5 AM
51°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
6 AM
51°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
7 AM
52°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
8 AM
56°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
9 AM
59°F
Cloudy

7 Day Forecast

Mostly cloudy w/ showers

Thursday

72 °F

Turning cloudy, warm; an afternoon shower or two


Thunderstorms

Thursday Night

50 °F

A thunderstorm in parts of the area this evening; otherwise, considerable cloudiness and mild


Thunderstorms

Friday

70 °F

Mostly cloudy with a couple of thundershowers


Thunderstorms

Friday Night

43 °F

Cloudy with a couple of thundershowers


Rain

Saturday

46 °F

Chilly with periods of rain and a thunderstorm


Rain and snow

Saturday Night

39 °F

Cloudy with rain, mixed with a little snow late


Mostly cloudy

Sunday

59 °F

Mostly cloudy and warmer; a stray afternoon thundershower


Partly cloudy

Sunday Night

36 °F

Partly cloudy


Partly sunny

Monday

71 °F

Partly sunny, pleasant and warmer


Partly cloudy

Monday Night

42 °F

Partly cloudy


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:07 AM
Sunset
7:50 PM

Based on AccuWeather data