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The Front Range Forecast: Mild and dry for a while...

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Figure 5: the 5 day precipitation total from the GFS and weather5280.com

In Brief:

Pretty mild and pretty dry for the week.

Forecast Discussion:

A very quiet period stretches out ahead of us. Figure 1 shows periods of clouds mid-week with pretty normal/mild temperatures. You won't see much this week but a slow snow melt. There are chances of mountain snows on Thanksgiving Eve and Thanksgiving morning (Figure 2), but even up there, snow will be scattered.

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Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver.
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Figure 2: the surface map and precipitation map for Wed/Thur midnight as Thanksgiving starts from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com

The Longer Range Forecast:

Our next small chance of precipitation comes with a minor trough (red line in Figure 3) approaching the state Saturday evening. The GFS doesn't give us any precipitation with this trough (Figure 4) even when the weatherunderground model sees a small chance (Figure 1). Over the next full 5 days, precipitation will be very light state-wide except for a few spots in the mountains and Palmer Divide (Figure 5). 

Thanksgiving Forecast:

We should see a high around 47F and a low around 23F with clearing skies. Winds will be dying down as the day progresses. Happy Thanksgiving everyone!

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Figure 3: the 500mb upper air forecast map from the GFS and tropicaltidbits for Saturday PM.
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Figure 4: the surface map and precipitation map for Sunday morning from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
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Figure 5: the 5 day precipitation total from the GFS and weather5280.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Cloudy

Cloudy

68°F

UV Index
2 Low
Pressure
30.22 Falling
Visibility
5 miles
Dewpoint
59 °F
Humidity
73%
Wind
ENE 1.2 mph
Gust
3.2 mph
Wind Chill
68 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
11 AM
69°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
12 PM
72°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
1 PM
75°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
2 PM
77°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
3 PM
79°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
4 PM
82°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
5 PM
84°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
6 PM
82°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
7 PM
79°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
8 PM
77°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
9 PM
73°F
Partly cloudy
Today
10 PM
69°F
Partly cloudy

7 Day Forecast

Mostly cloudy

Saturday

84 °F

Clouds and breaks of sun; smoke from area fires will lead to poor air quality


Partly cloudy

Saturday Night

58 °F

Partly cloudy


Partly sunny w/ showers

Sunday

94 °F

Partly sunny with a passing shower in the afternoon


Partly cloudy

Sunday Night

61 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly cloudy

Monday

91 °F

Considerable cloudiness


Mostly clear

Monday Night

60 °F

Clear to partly cloudy


Intermittent clouds

Tuesday

92 °F

Sun through high clouds


Partly cloudy

Tuesday Night

58 °F

Partly cloudy


Intermittent clouds

Wednesday

84 °F

Not as warm with times of clouds and sun; a thunderstorm in spots in the afternoon


Intermittent clouds

Wednesday Night

58 °F

An evening thunderstorm; otherwise, partly cloudy


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
5:41 AM
Sunset
8:30 PM

Based on AccuWeather data