Skip to content

Tue Update: The Front Range Forecast: Small snow chances, warm

In Brief:

Mild and seasonable weather this week, a chance of a rain/snow mix on Wednesday is the only weather event.

Tuesday Update:

Our mid-week shot of showers is almost here.  For a bit, it looked like 2-4 inches might hit the I-25 folks, but that has backed off in most modeling except for some of the 'global' models. The GFS is one such model and it has an inch of snow in spots around Boulder and southern Denver (Figure 1 update). Elsewhere, it is more like nothing or maybe a half inch of snow. Even the nearby foothills only see 2-3 inches. The NAM really underplays the snow and predicts nothing but maybe snow falling in the air or a dusting on grassy surfaces (Figure 2 update).

Temperatures remain pretty warm as well with highs only dipping into the lower 40's Wednesday. They bounce back to upper 40's the next day and 50's beyond that.

figure1u_01102023
Figure 1 update: the 5 day snowfall total from the GFS and weather5280
figure2u_01102023
Figure 2 update: the 5 day snowfall total from the NAM and weather5280

End Tuesday update.

Forecast Discussion:

Temperatures will climb, first, into the 40's then the 50's as the weekend progresses and the new week begins (Figure 1). Snow will melt, just slowly.

figure1_0102023
Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com

The Longer Range Forecast:

A somewhat weak (as it looks now) cut-off low will cross the state Tuesday and Wednesday (Figure 2). This means yet more snow for the mountains and a small chance of rain and snow on the Plains (Figure 3).  Rainfall/moisture totals are fairly unimpressive with nothing out on the northeast Plains (Figure 4). The GFS does give the I-25 folks 'some' snow from Longmont south, but it is very minimal (Figure 5).

We resume our warmer weather the next day and into the next weekend (Figure 1).  Check back here to see if this storm becomes anything more!

figure2_0102023
Figure 2: the 500mb upper air pattern forecast map for Wednesday from tropicaltidbits.com and the GFS
figure3_0102023
Figure 3: the surface pressure and precipitation forecast map for Wednesday from tropicaltidbits.com and the GFS
figure4_0102023
Figure 4: the 5 day precipitation forecast map from weather5280 and the GFS
figure5_0102023
Figure 5: the 5 day 10:1 ratio snowfall forecast map from weather5280 and the GFS

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
Read more


Comments


Current Weather

Cloudy

Cloudy

37°F

UV Index
1 Low
Pressure
30.24 Steady
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
30 °F
Humidity
77%
Wind
E 2.8 mph
Gust
5.4 mph
Wind Chill
35 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
5 PM
38°F
Cloudy
Today
6 PM
39°F
Cloudy
Today
7 PM
39°F
Cloudy
Today
8 PM
39°F
Cloudy
Today
9 PM
39°F
Cloudy
Today
10 PM
39°F
Cloudy
Today
11 PM
38°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
12 AM
38°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
1 AM
37°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
2 AM
36°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
3 AM
35°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
4 AM
35°F
Mostly cloudy

7 Day Forecast

Rain and snow

Thursday

39 °F

Cloudy and much colder; snow showers this morning, accumulating a coating to an inch followed by a couple of showers this afternoon


Mostly cloudy

Thursday Night

34 °F

Mostly cloudy


Mostly cloudy w/ showers

Friday

47 °F

Chilly with some sun, then turning cloudy; a little rain in the afternoon


Rain and snow

Friday Night

33 °F

Periods of snow; rain mixed in early, accumulating an inch or two


Flurries

Saturday

43 °F

A bit of morning snow with little or no accumulation; otherwise, cloudy and chilly; storm total snowfall an inch or two


Intermittent clouds

Saturday Night

31 °F

Partly cloudy


Partly sunny

Sunday

69 °F

Pleasant and warmer with partial sunshine


Partly cloudy

Sunday Night

44 °F

Partly cloudy


Intermittent clouds

Monday

79 °F

Very warm with a blend of sun and clouds


Intermittent clouds

Monday Night

36 °F

Increasing clouds


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:17 AM
Sunset
7:43 PM

Based on AccuWeather data