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Tues Update: The Front Range Forecast: Avg Temps, Few PM Storms

Figure1u_08232022
Figure 1 update: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com

In Brief:

Very seasonable temperatures and small chances of afternoon storms.

Tuesday Update:

Wednesday will be dry with temperatures very close to normal.  A fairly small chance of afternoon storms returns for the next week with little change in the temperatures (except briefly Friday- Figure 1 update).  Exciting cold fronts and fall/winter weather will be here in time.  Enjoy the quiet late summer weather for now.

Figure1u_08232022
Figure 1 update: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com

End of the Tuesday Update.

The Forecast Discussion:

We are getting ready to say goodbye to summer.  Temperatures drop into the 80s (most of the time) and storm chances remain confined to the afternoons and even then, fairly low (Figure 1) this week. The upper air ridge (blue line Figure 2) has shunted most of the moisture to the west and is bringing dry air down from the north over eastern Colorado. This is creating a stationary front along the Front Range with low storm chances to the northeast of the front (Figure 3).

Going forward a day, the ridge remains unmoved (Figure 4). What you see is what you'll get for a while!

Figure1_08182022
Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com
Figure2_08182022
Figure 2: the water vapor satellite loop for Thursday PM from NOAA.
Figre3_08182022
Figure 3: the NWS surface map forecast for Friday noon.
Figure4_08182022
Figure 4: the 500mb upper air map forecast for Friday noon from tropicaltidbits.com

The Longer Range Forecast:

Over the next 5 days, we may see a stray storm hit spots along I-25 north of Denver, but don't hold your breath (Figure 5).

Figure5_08182022
Figure 5: the 5 day precipitation forecast from the NWS and weather5280.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Mostly cloudy

Mostly cloudy

52°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
30.32 Steady
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
50 °F
Humidity
94%
Wind
NW 2.7 mph
Gust
5.9 mph
Wind Chill
52 °F

Hourly Forecast

Tomorrow
12 AM
51°F
Thunderstorms
Tomorrow
1 AM
51°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
2 AM
51°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
3 AM
50°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
4 AM
50°F
Cloudy
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5 AM
50°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
6 AM
50°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
7 AM
52°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
8 AM
54°F
Partly sunny
Tomorrow
9 AM
57°F
Partly sunny
Tomorrow
10 AM
61°F
Partly sunny
Tomorrow
11 AM
64°F
Partly sunny

7 Day Forecast

Partly sunny w/ t-storms

Tuesday

78 °F

Not as warm with times of clouds and sun; a thunderstorm or two this afternoon; thunderstorms can bring gusty winds, hail and localized flooding


Thunderstorms

Tuesday Night

50 °F

A couple of thunderstorms this evening; otherwise, cloudy


Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms

Wednesday

73 °F

Some sun, then turning cloudy with a couple of thundershowers in the afternoon


Partly cloudy w/ t-storms

Wednesday Night

50 °F

A couple of showers and a thunderstorm in the evening; otherwise, clearing


Mostly sunny

Thursday

74 °F

Mostly sunny and pleasant


Clear

Thursday Night

45 °F

Clear


Sunny

Friday

81 °F

Plenty of sunshine


Partly cloudy

Friday Night

47 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly sunny

Saturday

85 °F

Mostly sunny


Clear

Saturday Night

53 °F

Clear


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:42 AM
Sunset
7:08 PM

Based on AccuWeather data