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The Front Range Forecast: Slow return of warmth, some showers

Figure4_06012022
Figure 4: the Thursday surface analysis forecast from NOAA and the NWS.

In Brief:

We warm back to the lower 80s with afternoon showers possible most days.

Forecast Discussion:

Staring with precipitation totals first ... Longmont picked up about 0.8-0.9 inch of liquid while Boulder received about the same (Figure 1). Broomfield did better with 1 to 1.3 inches of liquid (Figure 2).  Most of the Front Range saw over 0.4 inch of rain (higher elevations received a few slushy inches in the mountains).

Thursday will warm a bit but remain mostly dry (Figure 3 and 4).

Figure1_06012022
Figure 1: 24 hour precipitation total from CoCoRaHS for Boulder Co.
Figure2_06012022
Figure 2: 24 hour precipitation total from CoCoRaHS for Broomfield Co.
Figure3_06012022
Figure 3: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com
Figure4_06012022
Figure 4: the Thursday surface analysis forecast from NOAA and the NWS.

The Longer Range Forecast:

Precipitation chances pick up again Friday as temperatures rise and afternoon thunderstorms wander off the mountains.  There is a marginal risk of severe weather Friday - a few of those storms may reach severe limits (Figure 5).

A couple of weak fronts arrive Sunday and Monday lowering temperatures and raising precipitation chances (Figure 3). Over the next 5 days, what little precipitation falls will remain largely east of the Divide.

Figure5_06012022
Figure 5: the Day 3 (Friday) severe weather outlook from the SPC in Norman, OK
Figure6_06012022
Figure 6: the 5 day precipitation forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Cloudy

Cloudy

67°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
30.17 Falling
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
53 °F
Humidity
62%
Wind
SW 3.8 mph
Gust
8.1 mph
Wind Chill
67 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
1 AM
68°F
Cloudy
Today
2 AM
66°F
Partly cloudy
Today
3 AM
65°F
Partly cloudy
Today
4 AM
64°F
Partly cloudy
Today
5 AM
64°F
Partly cloudy
Today
6 AM
63°F
Mostly sunny
Today
7 AM
66°F
Mostly sunny
Today
8 AM
71°F
Mostly sunny
Today
9 AM
75°F
Mostly sunny
Today
10 AM
81°F
Partly sunny
Today
11 AM
85°F
Partly sunny
Today
12 PM
88°F
Partly sunny

7 Day Forecast

Mostly cloudy

Sunday

93 °F

Thickening clouds


Intermittent clouds

Sunday Night

63 °F

An evening shower in places; otherwise, becoming clear


Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms

Monday

93 °F

Some sunshine giving way to clouds with a thunderstorm in the area late in the afternoon; thunderstorms can bring hail and damaging winds


Partly cloudy w/ t-storms

Monday Night

59 °F

A thunderstorm in spots in the evening; otherwise, clear to partly cloudy; thunderstorms can bring hail and damaging winds


Intermittent clouds

Tuesday

94 °F

Intervals of clouds and sunshine


Partly cloudy

Tuesday Night

60 °F

Partly cloudy


Partly sunny w/ t-storms

Wednesday

84 °F

Not as warm with times of sun and clouds; an afternoon thunderstorm; thunderstorms can bring hail and damaging winds


Mostly cloudy

Wednesday Night

58 °F

An evening thunderstorm; otherwise, mostly cloudy


Mostly cloudy

Thursday

89 °F

Mostly cloudy with a thunderstorm in spots in the afternoon


Intermittent clouds

Thursday Night

58 °F

Partly cloudy


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
5:42 AM
Sunset
8:30 PM

Based on AccuWeather data