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The Front Range Forecast: Slow return of warmth, some showers

Figure4_06012022
Figure 4: the Thursday surface analysis forecast from NOAA and the NWS.

In Brief:

We warm back to the lower 80s with afternoon showers possible most days.

Forecast Discussion:

Staring with precipitation totals first ... Longmont picked up about 0.8-0.9 inch of liquid while Boulder received about the same (Figure 1). Broomfield did better with 1 to 1.3 inches of liquid (Figure 2).  Most of the Front Range saw over 0.4 inch of rain (higher elevations received a few slushy inches in the mountains).

Thursday will warm a bit but remain mostly dry (Figure 3 and 4).

Figure1_06012022
Figure 1: 24 hour precipitation total from CoCoRaHS for Boulder Co.
Figure2_06012022
Figure 2: 24 hour precipitation total from CoCoRaHS for Broomfield Co.
Figure3_06012022
Figure 3: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com
Figure4_06012022
Figure 4: the Thursday surface analysis forecast from NOAA and the NWS.

The Longer Range Forecast:

Precipitation chances pick up again Friday as temperatures rise and afternoon thunderstorms wander off the mountains.  There is a marginal risk of severe weather Friday - a few of those storms may reach severe limits (Figure 5).

A couple of weak fronts arrive Sunday and Monday lowering temperatures and raising precipitation chances (Figure 3). Over the next 5 days, what little precipitation falls will remain largely east of the Divide.

Figure5_06012022
Figure 5: the Day 3 (Friday) severe weather outlook from the SPC in Norman, OK
Figure6_06012022
Figure 6: the 5 day precipitation forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Mostly clear

Mostly clear

58°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
30.19 Steady
Visibility
6 miles
Dewpoint
38 °F
Humidity
49%
Wind
NW 3.3 mph
Gust
7.8 mph
Wind Chill
58 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
5 AM
54°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
6 AM
51°F
Showers
Today
7 AM
54°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
8 AM
58°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
9 AM
62°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
10 AM
67°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
11 AM
71°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
12 PM
74°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
1 PM
75°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
2 PM
76°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
3 PM
75°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
4 PM
73°F
Intermittent clouds

7 Day Forecast

Partly sunny w/ t-storms

Tuesday

76 °F

Not as warm with times of clouds and sun; a thunderstorm in the area this afternoon; thunderstorms can bring localized damaging wind gusts


Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms

Tuesday Night

50 °F

A thunderstorm this evening; otherwise, increasing clouds


Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms

Wednesday

70 °F

Some sun, then turning cloudy with a couple of thundershowers in the afternoon


Partly cloudy w/ t-storms

Wednesday Night

49 °F

A couple of showers and a thunderstorm in the evening; otherwise, clearing


Mostly sunny

Thursday

72 °F

Sunny to partly cloudy and pleasant


Clear

Thursday Night

45 °F

Clear


Sunny

Friday

81 °F

Plenty of sunshine


Mostly clear

Friday Night

47 °F

Mainly clear


Mostly sunny

Saturday

85 °F

Mostly sunny


Mostly clear

Saturday Night

53 °F

Mainly clear


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:42 AM
Sunset
7:08 PM

Based on AccuWeather data