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The Front Range Forecast: Slow return of warmth, some showers

Figure4_06012022
Figure 4: the Thursday surface analysis forecast from NOAA and the NWS.

In Brief:

We warm back to the lower 80s with afternoon showers possible most days.

Forecast Discussion:

Staring with precipitation totals first ... Longmont picked up about 0.8-0.9 inch of liquid while Boulder received about the same (Figure 1). Broomfield did better with 1 to 1.3 inches of liquid (Figure 2).  Most of the Front Range saw over 0.4 inch of rain (higher elevations received a few slushy inches in the mountains).

Thursday will warm a bit but remain mostly dry (Figure 3 and 4).

Figure1_06012022
Figure 1: 24 hour precipitation total from CoCoRaHS for Boulder Co.
Figure2_06012022
Figure 2: 24 hour precipitation total from CoCoRaHS for Broomfield Co.
Figure3_06012022
Figure 3: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com
Figure4_06012022
Figure 4: the Thursday surface analysis forecast from NOAA and the NWS.

The Longer Range Forecast:

Precipitation chances pick up again Friday as temperatures rise and afternoon thunderstorms wander off the mountains.  There is a marginal risk of severe weather Friday - a few of those storms may reach severe limits (Figure 5).

A couple of weak fronts arrive Sunday and Monday lowering temperatures and raising precipitation chances (Figure 3). Over the next 5 days, what little precipitation falls will remain largely east of the Divide.

Figure5_06012022
Figure 5: the Day 3 (Friday) severe weather outlook from the SPC in Norman, OK
Figure6_06012022
Figure 6: the 5 day precipitation forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Mostly cloudy

Mostly cloudy

45°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
29.73 Rising
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
40 °F
Humidity
85%
Wind
NNE 5.9 mph
Gust
13.9 mph
Wind Chill
42 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
8 PM
45°F
Showers
Today
9 PM
45°F
Showers
Today
10 PM
45°F
Cloudy
Today
11 PM
45°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
12 AM
45°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
1 AM
45°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
2 AM
45°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
3 AM
45°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
4 AM
45°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
5 AM
45°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
6 AM
45°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
7 AM
47°F
Cloudy

7 Day Forecast

Partly sunny w/ t-storms

Wednesday

74 °F

Cooler with sunshine giving way to clouds, becoming windy this afternoon with heavy thunderstorms; gusty winds and small hail can accompany any downpour


Cloudy

Wednesday Night

45 °F

An evening shower in the area; otherwise, overcast


Intermittent clouds

Thursday

68 °F

Windy with intervals of clouds and sunshine


Mostly cloudy

Thursday Night

46 °F

Overcast in the evening, then partly cloudy late


Intermittent clouds

Friday

73 °F

Beautiful with times of clouds and sun


Mostly cloudy

Friday Night

44 °F

Mostly cloudy


Mostly cloudy

Saturday

75 °F

Mostly cloudy


Intermittent clouds

Saturday Night

45 °F

Clearing


Mostly cloudy w/ showers

Sunday

71 °F

Turning cloudy with a couple of showers in the afternoon


Mostly cloudy

Sunday Night

44 °F

A thunderstorm in parts of the area in the evening; otherwise, mostly cloudy


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
5:46 AM
Sunset
8:08 PM

Based on AccuWeather data