Skip to content

The Front Range Forecast: Small storm now, larger storm later

In Brief:

A small storm moves by Sunday/Monday followed by another warm-up.  Much better snows possible Thanksgiving night.

Forecast Discussion:

A quick moving, weakening system, is sweeping the state Sunday night and Monday morning.  There are very low chances of rain (overnight flurry?) along I-25 (Figure 1).

Showers will be scattered and mainly found in the mountains (Figure 2). The GFS does not give areas north of Denver any measurable snow (Figure 3) or rain (Figure 4). We warm up again through Wednesday (Figure 1).

figure1_11192023
Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast for Longmont from weatherunderground.com
figure2_11192023
Figure 2: the 6 hour precipitation forecast map centered on Monday sunrise from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
figure4_11192023
Figure 3: the 3 day 10:1 snowfall forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com
figure5_11192023
Figure 4: the 3 day liquid equivalent precipitation forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com

The Longer Range Forecast:

The next series of cold fronts begin to hit Thursday/Thanksgiving and Friday dropping temperatures to freezing levels for highs (Figure 1). This is a slower and larger system than the current one (Figure 6) powered by a deep upper air Low (Figure 5). It looks like mountain locations get 4-12 inches in spots while areas along I-25 may see a 3-6 inch storm.  I'll keep you updated with a Snowfall Roundup later in the week.

figure3_11192023
Figure 5: the 500mb upper air forecast map centered for Monday sunrise from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com

figure6_11192023
Figure 6: the 6 hour precipitation forecast map centered on Friday noon from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
figure7_11192023
Figure 7: the 9 day 10:1 snowfall forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth works from Longmont as the Principle Investigator for the NASA Science Mission Directorate Earth and space science education product review through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies – www.strategies.org).
Read more


Comments


Current Weather

Clear

Clear

33°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
30.29 Steady
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
28 °F
Humidity
82%
Wind
WSW 1.2 mph
Gust
2.7 mph
Wind Chill
33 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
11 PM
34°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
12 AM
33°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
1 AM
32°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
2 AM
32°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
3 AM
31°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
4 AM
31°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
5 AM
30°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
6 AM
30°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
7 AM
31°F
Partly cloudy
Tomorrow
8 AM
33°F
Partly sunny
Tomorrow
9 AM
36°F
Partly sunny
Tomorrow
10 AM
44°F
Partly sunny

7 Day Forecast

Mostly sunny

Tuesday

56 °F

Mostly sunny and mild


Partly cloudy

Tuesday Night

30 °F

Patchy clouds


Intermittent clouds

Wednesday

60 °F

Mild with times of clouds and sun


Mostly clear

Wednesday Night

32 °F

Mainly clear


Mostly sunny

Thursday

61 °F

Mostly sunny and mild


Intermittent clouds

Thursday Night

30 °F

Partly cloudy


Snow

Friday

36 °F

Much colder with periods of snow, accumulating an inch or two


Snow

Friday Night

17 °F

Colder with periods of snow, accumulating an inch or two; storm total snowfall 1-3 inches


Partly sunny w/ flurries

Saturday

37 °F

A couple of morning flurries; otherwise, clouds yielding to sun


Intermittent clouds

Saturday Night

17 °F

Partly cloudy


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
7:07 AM
Sunset
4:35 PM

Based on AccuWeather data