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The Front Range Forecast: Spring showers and warm

In Brief:

Warmth, mountains, and atmospheric moisture bring wandering afternoon showers.

The Forecast Discussion:

The normal high temperatures over this week rise from the mid-60's to the upper 60's.  The highs this week will hover, warmly, in the 70's. There is an increasing supply of moisture over the region allowing daytime heating to kick off a slowly increasing chance of afternoon thunderstorms (red arrows in Figure 1).

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Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com

The Longer Range Forecast:

A cutoff low drifts towards Colorado later in the week (the red L in Figure 2). This pushes more moisture into Colorado (green shading in Figure 3). This will allow for more precipitation coverage and thunderstorm formation (Figure 4). We'll have to keep our eyes open for a chance for severe weather later in the week - this is the right season for it.

The GFS gives the Front Range mountains and areas south of Denver some good precipitation this week (Figure 5).  The random nature of the storms will make this map look different every day. Just for fun, you can see how little snow we'll get over the next 5 days (Figure 6).  Enjoy the Spring!

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Figure 2: the 500mb upper air map for Thursday PM from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
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Figure 3: the precipitatable water map for Thursday PM from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
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Figure 4: the precipitation map for Thursday PM from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
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Figure 5: the 5 day precipitation forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com
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Figure 6: the 5 day 10:1 snowfall forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Sunny

Sunny

63°F

UV Index
2 Low
Pressure
30.18 Steady
Visibility
5 miles
Dewpoint
55 °F
Humidity
76%
Wind
NNW 1.1 mph
Gust
1.7 mph
Wind Chill
63 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
8 AM
70°F
Sunny
Today
9 AM
76°F
Sunny
Today
10 AM
82°F
Sunny
Today
11 AM
86°F
Sunny
Today
12 PM
89°F
Mostly sunny
Today
1 PM
91°F
Partly sunny
Today
2 PM
92°F
Partly sunny
Today
3 PM
92°F
Mostly cloudy w/ showers
Today
4 PM
93°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
5 PM
93°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
6 PM
91°F
Cloudy
Today
7 PM
89°F
Cloudy

7 Day Forecast

Partly sunny w/ showers

Sunday

93 °F

Partly sunny with a passing shower this afternoon


Partly cloudy

Sunday Night

62 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms

Monday

94 °F

Some sun, then increasing clouds with a thundershower in spots in the afternoon


Mostly clear

Monday Night

59 °F

Clear to partly cloudy


Intermittent clouds

Tuesday

92 °F

Sun through high clouds


Partly cloudy

Tuesday Night

60 °F

Partly cloudy


Intermittent clouds

Wednesday

72 °F

Times of sun and clouds with a thunderstorm in the afternoon; thunderstorms can bring hail and damaging winds


Mostly cloudy

Wednesday Night

58 °F

An evening thunderstorm; otherwise, mostly cloudy


Mostly cloudy

Thursday

86 °F

Warmer with variable cloudiness; a thunderstorm in spots in the afternoon


Intermittent clouds

Thursday Night

58 °F

Clearing


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
5:42 AM
Sunset
8:30 PM

Based on AccuWeather data