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The Front Range Forecast: Warm week, snow on the weekend

Figure3_02262022
Figure 3: the surface map for Saturday noon March 5th from tropicaltidbits.com and the GFS.

In Brief:

A very warm week becomes a fairly long stretch of unsettled weather and snow.

Forecast Discussion:

This week will be the week of a thaw (Figure 1).  Even the low temperatures, mid-week, will be 20 degrees warmer than the highs we had last week.  Incredible bounce!

Figure1_02262022
Figure 1: The 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com

The Longer Range Forecast:

Our next change in the weather arrives with the first in a series of cold fronts that begins noon Friday. Each front will bring a pulse of precipitation (Figure 1 dashed blue lines). Those fronts will be associated with each lobe of lower heights sliding along with the jet stream (Figure 2). The first storm looks pretty healthy with heavy snow in spots (Figure 3). Note that there is rain at the southern and eastern edges of the precipitation.  Temperatures are not too cold over the weekend (Figure 4).  This period of snow will not feel like our last snow storm.

Over the next 10 days, areas just west of the interstate and around Denver seem to be slated for around a foot of snow.  Snowfall amounts vanish as one moves to the southeast due to the warmth of the system.  I'll keep and eye on it all week with updates as usual! Enjoy it out there!

Figure2_02262022
Figure 2: the 500mb upper air map for Saturday noon March 5th from tropicaltidbits.com and the GFS.
Figure3_02262022
Figure 3: the surface map for Saturday noon March 5th from tropicaltidbits.com and the GFS.
Figure4_02262022
Figure 4: the surface temperatures departure from normal map for Saturday noon March 5th from tropicaltidbits.com and the GFS.
Figure5_02262022
Figure 5: the 10 day snowfall totals from the GFS and weather5280.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Mostly sunny

Mostly sunny

81°F

UV Index
1 Low
Pressure
30.25 Steady
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
55 °F
Humidity
41%
Wind
ESE 2.8 mph
Gust
6.7 mph
Wind Chill
81 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
7 PM
76°F
Thunderstorms
Today
8 PM
75°F
Partly sunny
Today
9 PM
72°F
Clear
Today
10 PM
69°F
Mostly clear
Today
11 PM
68°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
12 AM
67°F
Partly cloudy
Tomorrow
1 AM
66°F
Partly cloudy
Tomorrow
2 AM
64°F
Partly cloudy
Tomorrow
3 AM
63°F
Intermittent clouds
Tomorrow
4 AM
62°F
Partly cloudy
Tomorrow
5 AM
60°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
6 AM
59°F
Sunny

7 Day Forecast

Thunderstorms

Monday

81 °F

Mostly cloudy and not as warm; a thunderstorm in the area late this afternoon; thunderstorms can produce hail


Partly cloudy

Monday Night

59 °F

Partly cloudy


Partly sunny w/ t-storms

Tuesday

90 °F

Times of clouds and sun with a thunderstorm in spots late in the afternoon; thunderstorms can bring hail and damaging winds


Clear

Tuesday Night

59 °F

Clear


Mostly cloudy

Wednesday

94 °F

Mostly cloudy and very warm


Mostly clear

Wednesday Night

60 °F

Mainly clear


Intermittent clouds

Thursday

89 °F

Intervals of clouds and sunshine


Partly cloudy

Thursday Night

64 °F

A thunderstorm in spots in the evening; otherwise, partly cloudy


Mostly sunny

Friday

84 °F

Sunshine with a thunderstorm possible in the afternoon


Mostly clear

Friday Night

60 °F

An evening thunderstorm possible; otherwise, clear to partly cloudy


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
5:34 AM
Sunset
8:34 PM

Based on AccuWeather data