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The Front Range Forecast: Warm week, snow on the weekend

Figure3_02262022
Figure 3: the surface map for Saturday noon March 5th from tropicaltidbits.com and the GFS.

In Brief:

A very warm week becomes a fairly long stretch of unsettled weather and snow.

Forecast Discussion:

This week will be the week of a thaw (Figure 1).  Even the low temperatures, mid-week, will be 20 degrees warmer than the highs we had last week.  Incredible bounce!

Figure1_02262022
Figure 1: The 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com

The Longer Range Forecast:

Our next change in the weather arrives with the first in a series of cold fronts that begins noon Friday. Each front will bring a pulse of precipitation (Figure 1 dashed blue lines). Those fronts will be associated with each lobe of lower heights sliding along with the jet stream (Figure 2). The first storm looks pretty healthy with heavy snow in spots (Figure 3). Note that there is rain at the southern and eastern edges of the precipitation.  Temperatures are not too cold over the weekend (Figure 4).  This period of snow will not feel like our last snow storm.

Over the next 10 days, areas just west of the interstate and around Denver seem to be slated for around a foot of snow.  Snowfall amounts vanish as one moves to the southeast due to the warmth of the system.  I'll keep and eye on it all week with updates as usual! Enjoy it out there!

Figure2_02262022
Figure 2: the 500mb upper air map for Saturday noon March 5th from tropicaltidbits.com and the GFS.
Figure3_02262022
Figure 3: the surface map for Saturday noon March 5th from tropicaltidbits.com and the GFS.
Figure4_02262022
Figure 4: the surface temperatures departure from normal map for Saturday noon March 5th from tropicaltidbits.com and the GFS.
Figure5_02262022
Figure 5: the 10 day snowfall totals from the GFS and weather5280.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Sunny

Sunny

73°F

UV Index
1 Low
Pressure
30.01 Falling
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
45 °F
Humidity
36%
Wind
ESE 2.7 mph
Gust
5.9 mph
Wind Chill
73 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
6 PM
73°F
Mostly sunny
Today
7 PM
70°F
Mostly sunny
Today
8 PM
66°F
Mostly clear
Today
9 PM
63°F
Mostly clear
Today
10 PM
60°F
Mostly clear
Today
11 PM
58°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
12 AM
56°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
1 AM
55°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
2 AM
54°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
3 AM
53°F
Clear
Tomorrow
4 AM
51°F
Clear
Tomorrow
5 AM
51°F
Clear

7 Day Forecast

Partly sunny w/ showers

Sunday

73 °F

Clouds giving way to some sun


Clear

Sunday Night

49 °F

Clear


Partly sunny w/ t-storms

Monday

86 °F

Partly sunny and warmer; a thunderstorm around in the afternoon


Partly cloudy

Monday Night

52 °F

Partly cloudy


Partly sunny w/ t-storms

Tuesday

72 °F

Times of clouds and sun with a thunderstorm around in the afternoon


Mostly cloudy

Tuesday Night

50 °F

Increasing clouds


Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms

Wednesday

67 °F

Some sun, then turning cloudy with a couple of thundershowers in the afternoon


Clear

Wednesday Night

50 °F

Clear


Mostly sunny

Thursday

75 °F

Mostly sunny and pleasant


Clear

Thursday Night

47 °F

Clear


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:40 AM
Sunset
7:11 PM

Based on AccuWeather data