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The Front Range Forecast: Warm weekend, fridged with snow all week

In Brief:

This warm beautiful weekend will be replaced by extreme cold and prolonged snow.

Forecast Discussion:

Before we look ahead to the next snow storm, we need to check on what fell on Wednesday.  Longmont saw about 2.5-5 inches.  Broomfield saw about 4-6 inches (Figure 1).  We will warm this weekend to nearly 60F.  Rapid melting should help clear roads and sidewalks in advance of our next snow (Figure 2).

Figure1_02092022
Figure 1: the CoCoRaHS snowfall reports as of Thursday AM.
Figure2_02092022
Figure 2: the 10 day graphical forecast from weatherunderground.com for Denver, CO.

The Longer Range Forecast:

Still looking at Figure 2- once the front hits around 2 p.m. Monday, the bottom drops out on temperatures. Figure 3 is a map of temperature departure from normal Tuesday noon.  Areas around I-25 are 30-35 degrees below normal with areas around Cheyenne getting to 40 degrees colder than normal. I would not be surprised if the high on Tuesday doesn't break 10F. 

This system will also be slow to cross the state.  It looks like almost three days of snow showers are on the way. That is because of the size of the trough that is moving in (Figure 4). The smaller (or shorter) the trough is in the upper atmosphere, the quicker it moves, the larger, the slower.  This is a pretty big wave this time.

It is too early for accurate snow totals, but 5-8 inches over three days is what you should start to plan for.  More later and find your biggest coat!

Figure3_02092022
Figure 3: the temperature anomaly (departure from normal) for Tuesday noon from tropicaltidbits.com
Figure4_02092022
Figure 4: the 500mb upper air forecast map for Wednesday noon from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
Figure5_02092022
Figure 5: the 10 day (10:1 ratio) total snowfall forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Mostly clear

Mostly clear

71°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
30.21 Steady
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
35 °F
Humidity
26%
Wind
E 2.2 mph
Gust
4.4 mph
Wind Chill
71 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
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Today
11 PM
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57°F
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48°F
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46°F
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49°F
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55°F
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7 Day Forecast

Sunny

Saturday

79 °F

Abundant sunshine; dry weather continues; have your sunglasses and/or hat handy


Mostly clear

Saturday Night

46 °F

Clear to partly cloudy


Partly sunny

Sunday

85 °F

Very warm with sunshine mixing with some clouds; windy in the afternoon


Partly cloudy

Sunday Night

49 °F

Partly cloudy


Partly sunny

Monday

87 °F

Partly sunny and very warm


Clear

Monday Night

55 °F

Clear and mild


Partly sunny

Tuesday

87 °F

Remaining very warm with partial sunshine; breezy in the afternoon


Clear

Tuesday Night

53 °F

Clear


Mostly cloudy

Wednesday

67 °F

Cooler with sun followed by clouds; breezy in the afternoon


Mostly cloudy

Wednesday Night

47 °F

Considerable cloudiness


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
5:50 AM
Sunset
8:04 PM

Based on AccuWeather data