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The Frontrange Forecast: Snow departs, then returns

Figure3_03062022
Figure 3: the 6 hour precipitation forecast around Wednesday evening from tropicaltidbits.com

In Brief:

Snow ends until our next cold front arrives Wednesday.

Forecast Discussion:

Snow will taper off Sunday evening (Figure 1). The expected rainfall did not occur Saturday as a slot of warm dry air pulled into the first low from the southwest.  I was hoping for some good water before the change over to snow. Snowfall between noon and Sunday evening appears to build up 1-3 inches along I-25 and 2-4 inches in the foothills (Figure 2).

Figure1_03062022
Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast from weatherundeground.com
Figure4_03062022
Figure 2: the 2 day snowfall total from the GFS and weather5280.com

The Longer-Range Forecast:

After a cold Monday and chilly Tuesday, our next cold front arrives around 1 p.m. Wednesday bringing in wind, falling temperatures, and snow (Figure 1). That front swings down ahead of a healthy-looking upper air trough (Figure 3) and covers the region with a good amount of snow (Figure 4). Amounts still look somewhat light (2-4 inches for the lower elevations - Figure 1 and Figure 5). We'll have to watch that as the week begins, the trends have been for a little more forecasted snow over the last couple of days. 

Figure2_03062022
Figure 3: the 500mb upper air forecast map for Wed/Thur midnight from tropicaltidbits.com
Figure3_03062022
Figure 4: the 6 hour precipitation forecast around Wednesday evening from tropicaltidbits.com
Figure5_03062022
Figure 5: the 7 day snowfall total from the GFS and weather5280.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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