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The Next Storm/Next Snow Forecast Discussion from the Cherrywood Observatory – March 9 , 2018

This content was originally published by the Longmont Observer and is licensed under a Creative Commons license.

Forecast Discussion:

We hit 66F on Thursday and will see a very similar temperature today (Friday) as a ridge center moves overhead ahead of a minor cold front arriving on Saturday mid-morning.

The first, very minor, frontal push will cross Longmont around 4pm Friday.  Another cool push comes down from the north around 8am.  We only cool about 10-12 degrees F off of the very warm Friday temperatures.

Figure 1 shows the maximum precipitation extent midday Saturday. There is light snow in the mountains and there is a tiny chance of sprinkles or flurries in Longmont before this clears out.

Figure 2 shows winds midday Saturday. Winds won't be extreme, but the chill and gusty breezes will make outdoor activities uncomfortable. Winds will hover in the 15-20mph range for a few hours.  After that we stay above normal as far as temperatures are concerned, and dry.

Figure 1: a snapshot of current pressure and precipitation types for a 6 hour period centered on midday Saturday. Blue is snow. Longmont is the pink dot. From tropicaltidbits.com

Figure 2: a snapshot of current pressure windspeed for a 6 hour period centered on midday Saturday. Longmont is the pink dot. From tropicaltidbits.com

The longer range forecast:

Figure 3 is the big picture 500mb upper air map with ridges as red colors and troughs in blue (departures from average). For most of the week, a big pink/red ridge dominates the west. By Friday, a trough finally digs down the West coast and is approaching Colorado by middle next weekend.  The very long range forecast does hint at rain and snow around Sunday next week.

Figure 3: animation of 500mb upper air forecast map from Friday PM to Sunday early morning March 18th from tropicaltidbits.com

Current Weather

Cloudy

Cloudy

53°F

UV Index
2 Low
Pressure
29.53 Rising
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
24 °F
Humidity
32%
Wind
W 11.7 mph
Gust
27.8 mph
Wind Chill
53 °F

Based on AccuWeather data