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Forecast Discussion:
The storm is in progress, but there is still a lot to cover... our first thunderstorm of the weekend rolled through after 7pm (see figure 1). There was small hail south of town. We are under a marginal risk of severe weather Saturday PM (the darker green outline in figure 1). Because of this, I'll post this Saturday PM rather than Sunday AM.
For rainfall totals up to 7am, Figure 2 shows Longmont received about 0.10 inch of rain. Boulder got around 0.2-0.4 inch of rain. Figure 3 shows Ft. Collins received around 0.10 to 0.40 inch of rain. Berthoud got about 0.10 inch of rain. Estes Park only saw a paltry few hundredths of an inch. Figure 4 is the Denver metro which saw a trace to a 0.10 inch of rain. More water fell to the north - as predicted.
The (shorter term) longer range forecast:
Figure 5 shows there is a marginal risk of severe weather - the primary risk is hail and strong straight line winds- for Sunday. South Denver could see a weak tornado. For now, figure 6 shows we are back to general thunderstorms on Monday (but we'll see if that remains the case or if that gets upped).
Finally- the rainfall through Wednesday morning, according to the GFS in Figure 7 shows an inch to 1.25 inches of rain is likely nearby though we might be in a notch of less rainfall. The spacial resolution is such that anything from 0.50 inch to 1.25 inchs is possible in your neighborhood.
More tomorrow!
